Claude Sonnet 5 vs Chris Ruffolo: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
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Claude Sonnet 5 vs Chris Ruffolo

AI model vs PickDawgz ยท same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 8 games both have graded (all time), Claude Sonnet 5 leads 6โ€“5 on correct calls. They have only disagreed 3 times so far, too few to read. A small shared sample; treat this as a story in progress, not proof.

MLB ยท 8 games both graded ยท Jul 21 to Jul 26, 2026

Claude Sonnet 5
6โ€“2
75% on shared games
Chris Ruffolo
5โ€“3
63% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
3 of 8 shared games
Claude Sonnet 5 2 ยท Chris Ruffolo 1

On the 5 games they agreed, the shared side went 4โ€“1.

Closing-line value
Claude Sonnet 5
+0.16 pp
beat the close 55.1% of 285 picks
Chris Ruffolo

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.