Claude Opus 4.8 vs Gemini 3.6 Flash: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
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Head-to-head

Claude Opus 4.8 vs Gemini 3.6 Flash

AI model vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 671 games both have graded (last 90 days), Gemini 3.6 Flash leads 385–380 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 49 games where they took opposite sides: Gemini 3.6 Flash was right 27 of 49.

MLB · 608 games both graded · to

Claude Opus 4.8
339–269
56% on shared games
Gemini 3.6 Flash
344–264
57% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
47 of 608 shared games
Claude Opus 4.8 21 · Gemini 3.6 Flash 26

On the 561 games they agreed, the shared side went –.

UFC · 63 games both graded · to

Claude Opus 4.8
41–22
65% on shared games
Gemini 3.6 Flash
41–22
65% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
2 of 63 shared games
Claude Opus 4.8 1 · Gemini 3.6 Flash 1

On the 61 games they agreed, the shared side went –.

Closing-line value
Claude Opus 4.8
+0.20 pp
beat the close 54.9% of 849 picks
Gemini 3.6 Flash
+0.19 pp
beat the close 54.4% of 610 picks

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result from the daily line-blind forecasts. The head-to-head counts only games both models graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.