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Chris Duncan
"The Problem" ·
Lightweight · Orthodox
15-3-0
record
Elo
1761
Glicko
1791±169
BT
0.74
Height 5'10"
Reach 71"
Age 33
SLpM
4.83
sig. strikes landed / min
Str. Acc.
45%
striking accuracy
SApM
4.57
sig. strikes absorbed / min
Str. Def.
50%
striking defense
TD Avg.
2.92
takedowns / 15 min
TD Acc.
40%
takedown accuracy
TD Def.
55%
takedown defense
Sub. Avg.
0.60
sub attempts / 15 min
How the wins come (6)
0% KO/TKO
50% Submission
50% Decision
0% Other
How the losses come (2)
0% KO/TKO
100% Submission
0% Decision
0% Other
Significant strikes by position
72% Distance
8% Clinch
20% Ground
Significant strikes by target
58% Head
18% Body
25% Leg
Situational splits
finishes 38% ·
finished 25%
How this fighter's win rate shifts by context (min 2 fights per split).
With a reach advantage
100% 2-0
When older than opponent
80% 4-1
Vs orthodox
80% 4-1
As the rating favorite
75% 3-1
As the rating underdog
75% 3-1
When younger than opponent
67% 2-1
Giving up reach
67% 4-2
In the small (APEX) cage
50% 1-1
Fight history
detailed data since 2020 · full record above
| Date | Res | Opponent | Method | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | L | Renato Moicano | SUB · R2 3:14 | UFC Fight Night |
| Dec 6, 2025 | W | Terrance McKinney | SUB · R1 2:30 | UFC 323 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | W | Mateusz Rebecki | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night |
| Mar 22, 2025 | W | Jordan Vucenic | SUB · R2 3:42 | UFC Fight Night |
| Sep 28, 2024 | W | Bolaji Oki | SUB · R1 3:34 | UFC Fight Night |
| Feb 24, 2024 | L | Manuel Torres | SUB · R1 1:46 | UFC Fight Night |
| Jul 22, 2023 | W | Yanal Ashmouz | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night |
| Mar 18, 2023 | W | Omar Morales | S-DEC | UFC 286 |