← UFC Fight Night
Lightweight
· APEX cage
Result
Renato Moicano def.
SUB · R2 3:14
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
71"
37
Age
33
4.10
SLpM
4.83
49%
Str. Acc.
45%
3.55
SApM
4.57
59%
Str. Def.
50%
1.68
TD Avg.
2.92
64%
TD Def.
55%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.60
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Chris Duncan
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Renato Moicano
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Renato Moicano
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Renato Moicano
finishes 55% · finished 18% (11 fights)
Vs orthodox
100%
(4-0)
Giving up reach
100%
(3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage
100%
(3-0)
When older than opponent
71%
(5-2)
Chris Duncan
finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
With a reach advantage
100%
(2-0)
When older than opponent
80%
(4-1)
Vs orthodox
80%
(4-1)
As the rating favorite
75%
(3-1)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.