predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Manuel Torres
17-4 · Switch
vs
Chris Duncan
15-3 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Manuel Torres def.
SUB · R1 1:46
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
71"
31
Age
33
6.57
SLpM
4.83
56%
Str. Acc.
45%
4.24
SApM
4.57
50%
Str. Def.
50%
1.32
TD Avg.
2.92
76%
TD Def.
55%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Manuel Torres
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Manuel Torres
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Manuel Torres
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Manuel Torres finishes 71% · finished 29% (7 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 80% (4-1)
Chris Duncan finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
When older than opponent 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.