← UFC 286
Lightweight
Result
Chris Duncan def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
73"
33
Age
40
4.83
SLpM
3.42
45%
Str. Acc.
40%
4.57
SApM
3.18
50%
Str. Def.
58%
2.92
TD Avg.
0.46
55%
TD Def.
63%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Chris Duncan
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Omar Morales
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Chris Duncan
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Chris Duncan
finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
With a reach advantage
100%
(2-0)
When older than opponent
80%
(4-1)
Vs orthodox
80%
(4-1)
As the rating favorite
75%
(3-1)
Omar Morales
finishes 0% · finished 40% (5 fights)
Vs orthodox
33%
(1-2)
With a reach advantage
25%
(1-3)
When older than opponent
20%
(1-4)
As the rating underdog
0%
(0-4)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.