Chris Duncan vs Mateusz Rebecki Prediction & Pick (UFC Fight Night) | Predicted Sports
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Pro
UFC Fight Night · Lightweight · APEX

Chris Duncan vs Mateusz Rebecki

August 2, 2025 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

CD
Chris Duncan
15-3 · Orthodox
vs
MR
Mateusz Rebecki
21-5 · Southpaw
Result
Chris Duncan def. Mateusz Rebecki
U-DEC

Chris Duncan vs Mateusz Rebecki tale of the tape

71"
Reach
66"
33
Age
33
4.83
SLpM
5.28
45%
Str. Acc.
49%
4.57
SApM
4.19
50%
Str. Def.
54%
2.92
TD Avg.
3.05
55%
TD Def.
53%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go

🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with Pro

Chris Duncan and Mateusz Rebecki by the numbers

Chris Duncan finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
When older than opponent 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
Mateusz Rebecki finishes 33% · finished 22% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 67% (4-2)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Giving up reach 56% (5-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.

Chris Duncan vs Mateusz Rebecki: your questions

Who won Chris Duncan vs Mateusz Rebecki?
Chris Duncan won by U-DEC at UFC Fight Night.
When is Chris Duncan vs Mateusz Rebecki and what weight class is it?
Chris Duncan vs Mateusz Rebecki is a Lightweight bout at UFC Fight Night, August 2, 2025 in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.
How is Chris Duncan vs Mateusz Rebecki likely to end?
The fight ended by U-DEC.