← UFC Fight Night
Lightweight
· APEX cage
Result
Chris Duncan def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
66"
33
Age
33
4.83
SLpM
4.79
45%
Str. Acc.
46%
4.57
SApM
4.36
50%
Str. Def.
54%
2.92
TD Avg.
3.05
55%
TD Def.
53%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.40
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Chris Duncan
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Chris Duncan
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Chris Duncan
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Chris Duncan
finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
With a reach advantage
100%
(2-0)
When older than opponent
80%
(4-1)
Vs orthodox
80%
(4-1)
As the rating favorite
75%
(3-1)
Mateusz Rebecki
finishes 25% · finished 25% (8 fights)
Vs orthodox
67%
(4-2)
As the rating underdog
60%
(3-2)
When younger than opponent
50%
(1-1)
When older than opponent
50%
(3-3)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.