Claude Sonnet 5 vs Gemini 3.6 Flash: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
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Claude Sonnet 5 vs Gemini 3.6 Flash

AI model vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 673 games both have graded (last 90 days), Claude Sonnet 5 leads 392–386 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 52 games where they took opposite sides: Claude Sonnet 5 was right 29 of 52.

MLB · 610 games both graded · to

Claude Sonnet 5
350–260
57% on shared games
Gemini 3.6 Flash
345–265
57% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
45 of 610 shared games
Claude Sonnet 5 25 · Gemini 3.6 Flash 20

On the 565 games they agreed, the shared side went –.

UFC · 63 games both graded · to

Claude Sonnet 5
42–21
67% on shared games
Gemini 3.6 Flash
41–22
65% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
7 of 63 shared games
Claude Sonnet 5 4 · Gemini 3.6 Flash 3

On the 56 games they agreed, the shared side went –.

Closing-line value
Claude Sonnet 5
+0.18 pp
beat the close 55.2% of 852 picks
Gemini 3.6 Flash
+0.19 pp
beat the close 54.4% of 610 picks

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result from the daily line-blind forecasts. The head-to-head counts only games both models graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.