Claude Sonnet 5 vs Grok 4.3: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
predicted sports
Pro
← All head-to-heads
Head-to-head

Claude Sonnet 5 vs Grok 4.3

AI model vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 161 games both have graded (last 90 days), Claude Sonnet 5 leads 98–92 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 22 games where they took opposite sides: Claude Sonnet 5 was right 14 of 22.

MLB · 148 games both graded · Jul 1 to Jul 25, 2026

Claude Sonnet 5
86–62
58% on shared games
Grok 4.3
81–67
55% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
21 of 148 shared games
Claude Sonnet 5 13 · Grok 4.3 8

On the 127 games they agreed, the shared side went 73–54.

UFC · 13 games both graded · Jul 11 to Jul 11, 2026

Claude Sonnet 5
12–1
92% on shared games
Grok 4.3
11–2
85% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
1 of 13 shared games
Claude Sonnet 5 1 · Grok 4.3 0

On the 12 games they agreed, the shared side went 11–1.

Closing-line value
Claude Sonnet 5
+0.16 pp
beat the close 55.1% of 285 picks
Grok 4.3
-0.07 pp
beat the close 41.5% of 135 picks

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result, AI models from the daily line-blind forecasts and experts from picks captured on their public pages before first pitch. The head-to-head counts only games both pickers graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.