Claude Opus 5 vs Grok 4.5: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
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Claude Opus 5 vs Grok 4.5

AI model vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 325 games both have graded (last 90 days), Claude Opus 5 leads 193–188 on correct calls. The sharper cut is the 15 games where they took opposite sides: Claude Opus 5 was right 10 of 15.

MLB · 235 games both graded · to

Claude Opus 5
134–101
57% on shared games
Grok 4.5
134–101
57% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
6 of 235 shared games
Claude Opus 5 3 · Grok 4.5 3

On the 229 games they agreed, the shared side went –.

UFC · 90 games both graded · to

Claude Opus 5
59–31
66% on shared games
Grok 4.5
54–36
60% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
9 of 90 shared games
Claude Opus 5 7 · Grok 4.5 2

On the 81 games they agreed, the shared side went –.

Closing-line value
Claude Opus 5
+0.25 pp
beat the close 54.5% of 235 picks
Grok 4.5
+0.21 pp
beat the close 55.3% of 752 picks

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result from the daily line-blind forecasts. The head-to-head counts only games both models graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.