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Day Fifteen: Group E Holds Its Breath While Group D Yawns
The World Cup keeps rolling on...
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The Final Round of the Group Stage: Where it Matters
Not every game matters from here on out. We explore that today.
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Day Thirteen: Games That Matter, and the Ones That Won't
This is the last day. A majority of the group stage matters. From tomorrow onwards, predicting will be hard.
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Day Twelve - The Heavyweights!
France and Argentina both playing today with Norway and Senegal, looking to settle out the group
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World Cup: Confirmed Sharper Than The Market
On day 11, we started tracking sharpness metrics, and we are sharper than the overall market.
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About Half Way Through The Groups - The World Cup Model is Running Well
We're about halfway through. The USA are through to the next round. Turkey, a surprise, has fallen out. Lots of great games today.
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World Cup Day 9: We've Made Some Changes to the Model
We made some changes to the model to match reality. The four games today have some surprising modeled outcomes.
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The Second Round of the World Cup Group Stages Starts Today!
Our model predicts all four games, and we ask Claude to do the same. Can we be AI?
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The Final Games of the First Round -- World Cup Model
England, Croatia, and Portugal all take to the field today. Along with Colombia in the late night game, this rounds out the first round of the World Cup.
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Our Two Favorites, Argentina & France, Take the Field Today
Probably the biggest day of the World Cup so far, with Argentina and France playing. Our model thinks they'll both take an easy win