Claude Opus 5 vs Gemini 3.6 Flash: Graded Prediction Head-to-Head | Predicted Sports
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Claude Opus 5 vs Gemini 3.6 Flash

AI model vs AI model · same games, same finals, graded in public

On the 298 games both have graded (last 90 days), they are dead even at 176 correct calls each. The sharper cut is the 16 games where they took opposite sides: they split them exactly, 8 apiece.

MLB · 235 games both graded · to

Claude Opus 5
134–101
57% on shared games
Gemini 3.6 Flash
135–100
57% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
9 of 235 shared games
Claude Opus 5 4 · Gemini 3.6 Flash 5

On the 226 games they agreed, the shared side went –.

UFC · 63 games both graded · to

Claude Opus 5
42–21
67% on shared games
Gemini 3.6 Flash
41–22
65% on shared games
When they took opposite sides
7 of 63 shared games
Claude Opus 5 4 · Gemini 3.6 Flash 3

On the 56 games they agreed, the shared side went –.

Closing-line value
Claude Opus 5
+0.25 pp
beat the close 54.5% of 235 picks
Gemini 3.6 Flash
+0.19 pp
beat the close 54.4% of 610 picks

More head-to-heads

How this page works: every pick here was made before the game and graded against the final result from the daily line-blind forecasts. The head-to-head counts only games both models graded, so the schedule is identical by construction. Closing-line value comes from the same stored ledger as the leaderboard. Updated nightly.