St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins prediction — March 22, 2024
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Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
Fri, Mar 22
6:40 PM ET
MIA
Miami Marlins
Starting Pitchers
night game
MIA starter
Probable
Starter TBA
pen 3.54 FIP
By the conditions
history for tonight's matchupWhat's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).
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Start 7-day free trialHead to Head 2024 season
3
STL
6 games
11.2 avg runs
3
MIA
Team Data (season)
| STL | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 83-79 | Record | 62-100 |
| 4.15 | Runs / g | 3.93 |
| 4.44 | Runs allowed / g | 5.19 |
| 53% | Scored first | 46% |
| 33% | Cover -1.5 | 24% |
| 65% | Cover +1.5 | 51% |
Form & Market Trends
STL St. Louis Cardinals
n 10/93/162
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 50% | 53% | 48% |
| Cover -1.5 | 40% | 35% | 32% |
| Cover +1.5 | 70% | 67% | 61% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 50% | 45% | 38% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 50% | 45% | 51% |
| Team over 4.5 | 30% | 47% | 43% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 40% | 46% | 38% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 50% | 46% | 51% |
| Extra innings | 0% | 10% | 7% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 70% | 49% | 40% |
| Race to 4 | 20% | 34% | 35% |
| Race to 5 | 20% | 35% | 31% |
| Race to 6 | 20% | 29% | 26% |
| Race to 7 | 20% | 19% | 19% |
MIA Miami Marlins
n 10/95/162
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 70% | 55% | 49% |
| Cover -1.5 | 50% | 40% | 35% |
| Cover +1.5 | 80% | 65% | 62% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 70% | 48% | 36% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 80% | 55% | 50% |
| Team over 4.5 | 60% | 39% | 44% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 70% | 40% | 37% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 50% | 49% | 51% |
| Extra innings | 10% | 5% | 9% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 70% | 47% | 41% |
| Race to 4 | 70% | 49% | 40% |
| Race to 5 | 50% | 32% | 32% |
| Race to 6 | 60% | 28% | 23% |
| Race to 7 | 50% | 25% | 15% |
Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.
Projected Lineups
Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).
STL St. Louis Cardinals Probable
MIA Miami Marlins Probable
Injured List
STL (2 on IL)
- Max Rajcic P Injured 60-Day
- Ramón Urías 3B Injured 60-Day
MIA (8 on IL)
- John King P Injured 15-Day
- Anthony Bender P Injured 15-Day
- Owen Caissie RF Injured 10-Day
- Ronny Henriquez P Injured 60-Day
- Andrew Nardi P Injured 60-Day
- Robby Snelling P Injured 60-Day
- Adam Mazur P Injured 60-Day
- Josh Ekness P Injured 60-Day
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