Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles prediction — March 22, 2024
← Games
Ed Smith Stadium
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Fri, Mar 22
6:05 PM ET
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
Starting Pitchers
night game
By the conditions
history for tonight's matchupWhat's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).
🔒
Unlock the full model
Sign in to unlock one free pick a day, or start a 7-day free trial for unlimited access.
Start 7-day free trialHead to Head 2024 season
2
PIT
3 games
7.0 avg runs
1
BAL
Team Data (season)
| PIT | BAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 76-86 | Record | 91-73 |
| 4.10 | Runs / g | 4.80 |
| 4.56 | Runs allowed / g | 4.28 |
| 45% | Scored first | 51% |
| 31% | Cover -1.5 | 47% |
| 63% | Cover +1.5 | 68% |
Form & Market Trends
PIT Pittsburgh Pirates
n 10/94/162
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 50% | 50% | 44% |
| Cover -1.5 | 50% | 37% | 28% |
| Cover +1.5 | 50% | 61% | 65% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 30% | 47% | 36% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 60% | 57% | 38% |
| Team over 4.5 | 80% | 53% | 28% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 60% | 47% | 35% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 50% | 52% | 44% |
| Extra innings | 0% | 10% | 9% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 40% | 50% | 43% |
| Race to 4 | 40% | 44% | 32% |
| Race to 5 | 40% | 37% | 23% |
| Race to 6 | 50% | 37% | 16% |
| Race to 7 | 40% | 29% | 14% |
BAL Baltimore Orioles
n 10/95/162
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 50% | 46% | 46% |
| Cover -1.5 | 40% | 39% | 30% |
| Cover +1.5 | 60% | 61% | 61% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 50% | 36% | 40% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 40% | 54% | 44% |
| Team over 4.5 | 40% | 46% | 36% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 60% | 40% | 39% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 50% | 47% | 51% |
| Extra innings | 0% | 6% | 7% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 60% | 40% | 46% |
| Race to 4 | 20% | 36% | 38% |
| Race to 5 | 30% | 37% | 31% |
| Race to 6 | 20% | 29% | 20% |
| Race to 7 | 10% | 21% | 14% |
Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.
Projected Lineups
Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).
PIT Pittsburgh Pirates Probable
BAL Baltimore Orioles Probable
Injured List
PIT (7 on IL)
- Spencer Horwitz 1B Injured 10-Day
- Endy Rodríguez C Injured 10-Day
- Evan Sisk P Injured 15-Day
- Oneil Cruz CF Injured 10-Day
- Chris Devenski P Injured 60-Day
- Konnor Griffin SS Injured 10-Day
- Wilber Dotel P Injured 15-Day
BAL (9 on IL)
- Keegan Akin P Injured 15-Day
- Ryan Helsley P Injured 15-Day
- Colin Selby P Injured 60-Day
- Zach Eflin P Injured 60-Day
- Ryan Mountcastle 1B Injured 60-Day
- Jordan Westburg 3B Injured 60-Day
- Chris Bassitt P Injured 15-Day
- Yaramil Hiraldo P Injured 60-Day
- Félix Bautista P Injured 60-Day
📬 Free picks by email
Don't want to go Pro?
Get extra free daily picks in the newsletter — the model's calls plus what the AI field is seeing. No card, unsubscribe anytime.