Atlanta Braves vs Minnesota Twins prediction — March 22, 2024
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Lee Health Sports Complex
ATL
Atlanta Braves
Fri, Mar 22
1:05 PM ET
MIN
Minnesota Twins
Starting Pitchers
day game
ATL starter
Probable
Starter TBA
pen 3.35 FIP
MIN starter
Probable
Starter TBA
pen 3.58 FIP
By the conditions
history for tonight's matchupWhat's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).
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Start 7-day free trialHead to Head 2024 season
3
ATL
3 games
12.0 avg runs
0
MIN
Team Data (season)
| ATL | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 89-75 | Record | 82-80 |
| 4.32 | Runs / g | 4.58 |
| 3.76 | Runs allowed / g | 4.54 |
| 59% | Scored first | 49% |
| 43% | Cover -1.5 | 37% |
| 70% | Cover +1.5 | 63% |
Form & Market Trends
ATL Atlanta Braves
n 10/93/162
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 50% | 58% | 47% |
| Cover -1.5 | 50% | 47% | 34% |
| Cover +1.5 | 80% | 72% | 69% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 70% | 47% | 38% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 60% | 52% | 49% |
| Team over 4.5 | 70% | 52% | 41% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 60% | 44% | 42% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 50% | 53% | 51% |
| Extra innings | 10% | 8% | 10% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 70% | 52% | 41% |
| Race to 4 | 50% | 47% | 40% |
| Race to 5 | 50% | 42% | 33% |
| Race to 6 | 20% | 33% | 28% |
| Race to 7 | 20% | 26% | 23% |
MIN Minnesota Twins
n 10/95/162
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 60% | 48% | 43% |
| Cover -1.5 | 40% | 37% | 34% |
| Cover +1.5 | 70% | 63% | 60% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 50% | 47% | 40% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 50% | 56% | 49% |
| Team over 4.5 | 50% | 49% | 41% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 50% | 51% | 36% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 60% | 57% | 53% |
| Extra innings | 0% | 5% | 9% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 60% | 52% | 43% |
| Race to 4 | 40% | 46% | 38% |
| Race to 5 | 40% | 35% | 32% |
| Race to 6 | 40% | 25% | 23% |
| Race to 7 | 20% | 19% | 17% |
Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.
Injured List
ATL (10 on IL)
- Robert Suarez P Injured 15-Day
- Ha-Seong Kim SS Injured 10-Day
- Martín Pérez P Injured 15-Day
- Joey Wentz P Injured 60-Day
- Sean Murphy C Injured 60-Day
- Spencer Strider P Injured 60-Day
- Ronald Acuña Jr. RF Injured 10-Day
- AJ Smith-Shawver P Injured 60-Day
- Joe Jiménez P Injured 60-Day
- Spencer Schwellenbach P Injured 60-Day
MIN (9 on IL)
- Anthony Banda P Injured 15-Day
- Connor Prielipp P Injured 15-Day
- Byron Buxton CF Injured 10-Day
- David Festa P Injured 60-Day
- Cole Sands P Injured 15-Day
- Pablo López P Injured 60-Day
- Mick Abel P Injured 60-Day
- Garrett Acton P Injured 60-Day
- Marco Raya P Injured 15-Day
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