Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction — March 3, 2024
← Games
Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium
MIA
Miami Marlins
Sun, Mar 3
1:05 PM ET
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
Starting Pitchers
day game
By the conditions
history for tonight's matchupWhat's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).
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Start 7-day free trialHead to Head 2024 season
3
MIA
6 games
11.2 avg runs
3
STL
Team Data (season)
| MIA | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| 62-100 | Record | 83-79 |
| 3.93 | Runs / g | 4.15 |
| 5.19 | Runs allowed / g | 4.44 |
| 46% | Scored first | 53% |
| 24% | Cover -1.5 | 33% |
| 51% | Cover +1.5 | 65% |
Form & Market Trends
MIA Miami Marlins
n 10/96/162
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 60% | 54% | 49% |
| Cover -1.5 | 40% | 40% | 35% |
| Cover +1.5 | 70% | 65% | 62% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 60% | 48% | 36% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 70% | 54% | 50% |
| Team over 4.5 | 50% | 39% | 44% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 60% | 40% | 37% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 40% | 49% | 51% |
| Extra innings | 10% | 5% | 9% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 60% | 47% | 41% |
| Race to 4 | 60% | 49% | 40% |
| Race to 5 | 40% | 31% | 32% |
| Race to 6 | 50% | 28% | 23% |
| Race to 7 | 40% | 25% | 15% |
STL St. Louis Cardinals
n 10/94/162
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 50% | 53% | 48% |
| Cover -1.5 | 40% | 36% | 32% |
| Cover +1.5 | 70% | 67% | 61% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 60% | 46% | 38% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 40% | 45% | 51% |
| Team over 4.5 | 20% | 47% | 43% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 40% | 47% | 38% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 50% | 47% | 51% |
| Extra innings | 0% | 10% | 7% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 70% | 50% | 40% |
| Race to 4 | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Race to 5 | 20% | 35% | 31% |
| Race to 6 | 10% | 29% | 26% |
| Race to 7 | 10% | 19% | 19% |
Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.
Projected Lineups
Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).
MIA Miami Marlins Probable
STL St. Louis Cardinals Probable
Injured List
MIA (8 on IL)
- John King P Injured 15-Day
- Anthony Bender P Injured 15-Day
- Owen Caissie RF Injured 10-Day
- Ronny Henriquez P Injured 60-Day
- Andrew Nardi P Injured 60-Day
- Robby Snelling P Injured 60-Day
- Adam Mazur P Injured 60-Day
- Josh Ekness P Injured 60-Day
STL (2 on IL)
- Max Rajcic P Injured 60-Day
- Ramón Urías 3B Injured 60-Day
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