Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals prediction — March 3, 2024
← Games
CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches
MIA
Miami Marlins
Sun, Mar 3
1:05 PM ET
WSH
Washington Nationals
Starting Pitchers
day game
By the conditions
history for tonight's matchupWhat's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).
🔒
Unlock the full model
Sign in to unlock one free pick a day, or start a 7-day free trial for unlimited access.
Start 7-day free trialHead to Head 2024 season
2
MIA
13 games
8.2 avg runs
11
WSH
Team Data (season)
| MIA | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 62-100 | Record | 71-91 |
| 3.93 | Runs / g | 4.07 |
| 5.19 | Runs allowed / g | 4.72 |
| 46% | Scored first | 43% |
| 24% | Cover -1.5 | 35% |
| 51% | Cover +1.5 | 58% |
Form & Market Trends
MIA Miami Marlins
n 10/96/162
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 60% | 54% | 49% |
| Cover -1.5 | 40% | 40% | 35% |
| Cover +1.5 | 70% | 65% | 62% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 60% | 48% | 36% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 70% | 54% | 50% |
| Team over 4.5 | 50% | 39% | 44% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 60% | 40% | 37% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 40% | 49% | 51% |
| Extra innings | 10% | 5% | 9% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 60% | 47% | 41% |
| Race to 4 | 60% | 49% | 40% |
| Race to 5 | 40% | 31% | 32% |
| Race to 6 | 50% | 28% | 23% |
| Race to 7 | 40% | 25% | 15% |
WSH Washington Nationals
n 10/96/162
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 50% | 50% | 41% |
| Cover -1.5 | 40% | 36% | 26% |
| Cover +1.5 | 50% | 63% | 52% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 50% | 54% | 35% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 70% | 67% | 56% |
| Team over 4.5 | 60% | 53% | 40% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 50% | 49% | 35% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 80% | 53% | 52% |
| Extra innings | 0% | 10% | 5% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 50% | 55% | 34% |
| Race to 4 | 40% | 49% | 30% |
| Race to 5 | 40% | 41% | 27% |
| Race to 6 | 40% | 32% | 21% |
| Race to 7 | 50% | 29% | 17% |
Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.
Projected Lineups
Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).
MIA Miami Marlins Probable
WSH Washington Nationals Probable
Injured List
MIA (8 on IL)
- John King P Injured 15-Day
- Anthony Bender P Injured 15-Day
- Owen Caissie RF Injured 10-Day
- Ronny Henriquez P Injured 60-Day
- Andrew Nardi P Injured 60-Day
- Robby Snelling P Injured 60-Day
- Adam Mazur P Injured 60-Day
- Josh Ekness P Injured 60-Day
WSH (9 on IL)
- Richard Lovelady P Injured 15-Day
- Brad Lord P Injured 15-Day
- Mitchell Parker P Injured 60-Day
- Trevor Williams P Injured 60-Day
- Josiah Gray P Injured 60-Day
- DJ Herz P Injured 60-Day
- Jake Irvin P Injured 60-Day
- Max Kranick P Injured 60-Day
- Ken Waldichuk P Injured 60-Day
📬 Free picks by email
Don't want to go Pro?
Get extra free daily picks in the newsletter — the model's calls plus what the AI field is seeing. No card, unsubscribe anytime.