Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds prediction — March 15, 2024
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Goodyear Ballpark
KC
Kansas City Royals
Fri, Mar 15
4:05 PM ET
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
Starting Pitchers
day game
By the conditions
history for tonight's matchupWhat's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).
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Start 7-day free trialHead to Head 2024 season
3
KC
3 games
10.3 avg runs
0
CIN
Team Data (season)
| KC | CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 89-79 | Record | 77-85 |
| 4.46 | Runs / g | 4.31 |
| 3.92 | Runs allowed / g | 4.28 |
| 52% | Scored first | 48% |
| 42% | Cover -1.5 | 38% |
| 67% | Cover +1.5 | 65% |
Form & Market Trends
KC Kansas City Royals
n 10/95/162
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 30% | 40% | 51% |
| Cover -1.5 | 30% | 31% | 36% |
| Cover +1.5 | 30% | 55% | 63% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 20% | 35% | 43% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 40% | 46% | 42% |
| Team over 4.5 | 30% | 39% | 33% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 40% | 37% | 38% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 80% | 53% | 46% |
| Extra innings | 0% | 7% | 7% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 20% | 38% | 43% |
| Race to 4 | 20% | 33% | 35% |
| Race to 5 | 20% | 24% | 26% |
| Race to 6 | 10% | 19% | 25% |
| Race to 7 | 10% | 13% | 19% |
CIN Cincinnati Reds
n 10/93/164
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 40% | 46% | 51% |
| Cover -1.5 | 30% | 33% | 37% |
| Cover +1.5 | 50% | 58% | 64% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 40% | 43% | 40% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 40% | 58% | 44% |
| Team over 4.5 | 30% | 39% | 45% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 30% | 40% | 40% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 50% | 49% | 49% |
| Extra innings | 0% | 11% | 9% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 40% | 41% | 49% |
| Race to 4 | 40% | 40% | 41% |
| Race to 5 | 20% | 33% | 36% |
| Race to 6 | 20% | 28% | 29% |
| Race to 7 | 20% | 18% | 20% |
Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.
Projected Lineups
Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).
KC Kansas City Royals Probable
CIN Cincinnati Reds Probable
Injured List
KC (10 on IL)
- Cole Ragans P Injured 60-Day
- James McArthur P Injured 60-Day
- Kyle Isbel CF Injured 10-Day
- Maikel Garcia 3B Injured 10-Day
- Alec Marsh P Injured 60-Day
- Carlos Estévez P Injured 60-Day
- Nick Mears P Injured 15-Day
- Jonathan India 2B Injured 60-Day
- Kris Bubic P Injured 60-Day
- Connor Seabold P Injured 15-Day
CIN (6 on IL)
- Dane Myers CF Injured 10-Day
- Tony Santillan P Injured 15-Day
- Matt McLain 2B Injured 10-Day
- Blake Dunn CF Injured 10-Day
- Brandon Williamson P Injured 60-Day
- Graham Ashcraft P Injured 60-Day
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