Kansas City Royals vs Colorado Rockies prediction — March 7, 2024
← Games
Salt River Fields at Talking Stick
KC
Kansas City Royals
Thu, Mar 7
3:10 PM ET
COL
Colorado Rockies
Starting Pitchers
day game
By the conditions
history for tonight's matchupWhat's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).
🔒
Unlock the full model
Sign in to unlock one free pick a day, or start a 7-day free trial for unlimited access.
Start 7-day free trialHead to Head 2024 season
1
KC
3 games
7.0 avg runs
2
COL
Team Data (season)
| KC | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 89-79 | Record | 61-101 |
| 4.46 | Runs / g | 4.21 |
| 3.92 | Runs allowed / g | 5.73 |
| 52% | Scored first | 40% |
| 42% | Cover -1.5 | 22% |
| 67% | Cover +1.5 | 51% |
Form & Market Trends
KC Kansas City Royals
n 10/96/162
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 30% | 40% | 51% |
| Cover -1.5 | 30% | 30% | 36% |
| Cover +1.5 | 30% | 54% | 63% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 20% | 34% | 43% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 30% | 46% | 42% |
| Team over 4.5 | 30% | 39% | 33% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 30% | 36% | 38% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 70% | 52% | 46% |
| Extra innings | 0% | 7% | 7% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 20% | 38% | 43% |
| Race to 4 | 20% | 32% | 35% |
| Race to 5 | 20% | 24% | 26% |
| Race to 6 | 10% | 19% | 25% |
| Race to 7 | 10% | 13% | 19% |
COL Colorado Rockies
n 10/97/162
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 50% | 40% | 27% |
| Cover -1.5 | 20% | 26% | 15% |
| Cover +1.5 | 70% | 55% | 41% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 20% | 33% | 25% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 60% | 61% | 56% |
| Team over 4.5 | 40% | 41% | 30% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 50% | 43% | 28% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 70% | 63% | 55% |
| Extra innings | 10% | 6% | 4% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 30% | 40% | 25% |
| Race to 4 | 40% | 34% | 15% |
| Race to 5 | 20% | 25% | 14% |
| Race to 6 | 20% | 21% | 14% |
| Race to 7 | 40% | 23% | 8% |
Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.
Projected Lineups
Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).
KC Kansas City Royals Probable
COL Colorado Rockies Probable
Injured List
KC (10 on IL)
- Cole Ragans P Injured 60-Day
- James McArthur P Injured 60-Day
- Kyle Isbel CF Injured 10-Day
- Maikel Garcia 3B Injured 10-Day
- Alec Marsh P Injured 60-Day
- Carlos Estévez P Injured 60-Day
- Nick Mears P Injured 15-Day
- Jonathan India 2B Injured 60-Day
- Kris Bubic P Injured 60-Day
- Connor Seabold P Injured 15-Day
COL (11 on IL)
- Tomoyuki Sugano P Injured 15-Day
- Jaden Hill P Injured 15-Day
- Jose Quintana P Injured 60-Day
- Brenton Doyle CF Injured 10-Day
- Kris Bryant DH Injured 60-Day
- Blas Castaño P Injured 15-Day
- Seth Halvorsen P Injured 15-Day
- Chase Dollander P Injured 60-Day
- Welinton Herrera P Injured 60-Day
- Pierson Ohl P Injured 60-Day
- McCade Brown P Injured 60-Day
📬 Free picks by email
Don't want to go Pro?
Get extra free daily picks in the newsletter — the model's calls plus what the AI field is seeing. No card, unsubscribe anytime.