New York Mets vs Houston Astros prediction — March 6, 2024
← Games
CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches
NYM
New York Mets
Wed, Mar 6
1:05 PM ET
HOU
Houston Astros
Starting Pitchers
day game
By the conditions
history for tonight's matchupWhat's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).
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Start 7-day free trialHead to Head 2024 season
1
NYM
3 games
13.0 avg runs
2
HOU
Team Data (season)
| NYM | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 96-79 | Record | 88-75 |
| 4.75 | Runs / g | 4.56 |
| 4.38 | Runs allowed / g | 4.03 |
| 50% | Scored first | 53% |
| 39% | Cover -1.5 | 43% |
| 65% | Cover +1.5 | 71% |
Form & Market Trends
NYM New York Mets
n 10/96/162
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 40% | 42% | 51% |
| Cover -1.5 | 20% | 32% | 37% |
| Cover +1.5 | 40% | 58% | 67% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 30% | 34% | 48% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 60% | 45% | 52% |
| Team over 4.5 | 50% | 35% | 44% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 30% | 33% | 43% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 60% | 50% | 46% |
| Extra innings | 10% | 15% | 8% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 30% | 39% | 48% |
| Race to 4 | 50% | 39% | 43% |
| Race to 5 | 50% | 31% | 39% |
| Race to 6 | 50% | 26% | 28% |
| Race to 7 | 40% | 22% | 22% |
HOU Houston Astros
n 10/97/162
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 50% | 48% | 54% |
| Cover -1.5 | 50% | 39% | 37% |
| Cover +1.5 | 60% | 55% | 64% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 40% | 36% | 41% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 80% | 59% | 45% |
| Team over 4.5 | 50% | 41% | 39% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 50% | 44% | 40% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 70% | 61% | 45% |
| Extra innings | 0% | 9% | 9% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 30% | 38% | 43% |
| Race to 4 | 40% | 36% | 40% |
| Race to 5 | 40% | 27% | 35% |
| Race to 6 | 40% | 23% | 28% |
| Race to 7 | 10% | 22% | 20% |
Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.
Projected Lineups
Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).
NYM New York Mets Probable
HOU Houston Astros Probable
Injured List
NYM (9 on IL)
- Mark Vientos 1B Injured 10-Day
- Austin Warren P Injured 15-Day
- Marcus Semien 2B Injured 10-Day
- Tylor Megill P Injured 60-Day
- Dedniel Núñez P Injured 60-Day
- Reed Garrett P Injured 60-Day
- Justin Hagenman P Injured 60-Day
- Luis Robert Jr. CF Injured 60-Day
- Clay Holmes P Injured 60-Day
HOU (7 on IL)
- Kai-Wei Teng P Injured 15-Day
- Ronel Blanco P Injured 60-Day
- Bennett Sousa P Injured 60-Day
- Lance McCullers Jr. P Injured 15-Day
- Carlos Correa SS Injured 60-Day
- Brandon Walter P Injured 60-Day
- Hayden Wesneski P Injured 60-Day
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