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Welterweight
Base
Pick: Kevin Holland
How it's likely to end
🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro
Tale of the Tape
81"
Reach
72"
33
Age
30
4.24
SLpM
6.89
49%
Str. Acc.
67%
3.21
SApM
2.78
50%
Str. Def.
47%
0.79
TD Avg.
7.78
57%
TD Def.
100%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.70
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Jacobe Smith
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Kevin Holland
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Jacobe Smith
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Kevin Holland
finishes 41% · finished 18% (22 fights)
Vs orthodox
64%
(7-4)
When younger than opponent
59%
(10-7)
As the rating underdog
58%
(7-5)
With a reach advantage
55%
(12-10)
Jacobe Smith
finishes 100% · finished 0% (3 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(2-0)
As the rating favorite
100%
(3-0)
Vs orthodox
100%
(2-0)
With a reach advantage
100%
(2-0)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.