Who is favored to win Kevin Holland vs Jacobe Smith?

9 of 10 AI models pick Jacobe Smith to beat Kevin Holland. Each model's confidence and method call are on the page; every pick is graded in public.

When is Kevin Holland vs Jacobe Smith and what weight class is it?

Kevin Holland vs Jacobe Smith is a Welterweight bout at UFC Fight Night, July 18, 2026 in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA.

How is Kevin Holland vs Jacobe Smith likely to end?

We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.

Pick Board Rankings Divisions Fighters Answers

UFC Fight Night · Welterweight

Kevin Holland vs Jacobe Smith

July 18, 2026 · Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA

Kevin Holland

29-15 (1 NC) · Orthodox

Jacobe Smith

12-0 · Southpaw

AI consensus Jacobe Smith 9/10

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What the AI models predict for Holland vs Smith

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GPT-5.6 Luna Pro

Winner

J. Smith 🔒

Method

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GPT-5.6 Sol Pro

Winner

J. Smith 🔒

Method

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GLM 5.2

Winner

J. Smith 🔒

Method

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Claude Opus 4.8

Winner

J. Smith 🔒

Method

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GPT-5.5

Winner

J. Smith 🔒

Method

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Grok 4.5

Winner

J. Smith 🔒

Method

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Kimi K3

Winner

J. Smith 🔒

Method

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Gemini 3.5 Flash

Winner

J. Smith 🔒

Method

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DeepSeek V4 Pro

Winner

J. Smith 🔒

Method

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Claude Sonnet 5

Winner

K. Holland 🔒

Method

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Every model gets the identical line-blind fight packet, no odds, no search. Winner picks are free; each model's confidence and method call are Pro. Upgrade for confidence.

How Holland vs Smith is likely to end

🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro

Kevin Holland vs Jacobe Smith tale of the tape

81"

Reach

72"

Age

4.24

SLpM

6.89

49%

Str. Acc.

67%

3.21

SApM

2.78

50%

Str. Def.

47%

0.79

TD Avg.

7.78

57%

TD Def.

100%

0.60

Sub. Avg.

0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go

🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with Pro

Kevin Holland and Jacobe Smith by the numbers

Kevin Holland finishes 41% · finished 18% (22 fights)

Vs orthodox 64% (7-4)

When younger than opponent 59% (10-7)

As the rating underdog 58% (7-5)

With a reach advantage 55% (12-10)

Jacobe Smith finishes 100% · finished 0% (3 fights)

When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)

As the rating favorite 100% (3-0)

Vs orthodox 100% (2-0)

With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.

Kevin Holland vs Jacobe Smith: your questions

Who is favored to win Kevin Holland vs Jacobe Smith?: 9 of 10 AI models pick Jacobe Smith to beat Kevin Holland. Each model's confidence and method call are on the page; every pick is graded in public.
When is Kevin Holland vs Jacobe Smith and what weight class is it?: Kevin Holland vs Jacobe Smith is a Welterweight bout at UFC Fight Night, July 18, 2026 in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA.
How is Kevin Holland vs Jacobe Smith likely to end?: We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.