← UFC 329
Bantamweight
Base
Pick: Cory Sandhagen
How it's likely to end
🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
69"
34
Age
32
4.86
SLpM
5.30
45%
Str. Acc.
48%
3.47
SApM
3.98
56%
Str. Def.
54%
1.15
TD Avg.
1.91
56%
TD Def.
55%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.80
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Mario Bautista
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Cory Sandhagen
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Mario Bautista
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
By the Numbers
Cory Sandhagen
finishes 40% · finished 0% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent
67%
(4-2)
In the small (APEX) cage
67%
(2-1)
Vs orthodox
63%
(5-3)
As the rating favorite
60%
(3-2)
Mario Bautista
finishes 36% · finished 9% (11 fights)
With a reach advantage
100%
(3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage
100%
(6-0)
As the rating favorite
86%
(6-1)
When younger than opponent
83%
(5-1)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.