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Featherweight
Result
Kaan Ofli def.
SUB · R1 4:16
Base called it (52% Ofli)
The Panel
two analysts call every fight
S
Scoop
Works the sources
Pick · fight week
Kaan Ofli 55%
✓ called it
“Reyes has the dynamite, but word is Ofli's fight IQ is the real weapon here. Don't be shocked if the Aussie makes him look like a one-trick pony.”
🔒 Method call & full breakdown with Pro
V
Vega
Runs the numbers
Pick · fight week
Javier Reyes 55%
✗ missed
“Reyes' thunderous 8.91 SLpM and recent R1 KO power will overwhelm Ofli's porous defense — Blair by finish.”
🔒 Method call & full breakdown with ProFree pick & take; the method call and full writeup are Pro. Each analyst also calls every fight ~1 week out.
How it's likely to end
🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro
Tale of the Tape
66"
Reach
73"
33
Age
32
2.49
SLpM
6.28
47%
Str. Acc.
47%
3.17
SApM
3.06
56%
Str. Def.
41%
0.34
TD Avg.
1.27
0%
TD Def.
50%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Javier Reyes
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Javier Reyes
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Kaan Ofli
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
By the Numbers
Kaan Ofli
finishes 40% · finished 20% (5 fights)
When older than opponent
60%
(3-2)
As the rating underdog
60%
(3-2)
Vs orthodox
60%
(3-2)
Giving up reach
60%
(3-2)
Javier Reyes
finishes 50% · finished 50% (2 fights)
When younger than opponent
50%
(1-1)
Vs orthodox
50%
(1-1)
With a reach advantage
50%
(1-1)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.