predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Nate Maness
16-3 · Orthodox
vs
Luke Sanders
13-5 · Southpaw
Catch Weight · APEX cage
Result
Nate Maness def.
SUB · R2 2:29
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
67"
35
Age
40
3.14
SLpM
6.61
50%
Str. Acc.
52%
3.88
SApM
4.37
42%
Str. Def.
50%
0.68
TD Avg.
0.71
80%
TD Def.
72%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win across the UFC
3,067 fights · edge Nate Maness
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins across the UFC
2,686 fights · edge Nate Maness
59%
the rating favorite wins across the UFC
2,745 fights · edge Nate Maness
50%
of all UFC fights end inside the distance
3,068 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Nate Maness finishes 43% · finished 14% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 71% (5-2)
Luke Sanders finishes 0% · finished 50% (2 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-2)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-2)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-2)
Giving up reach 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.