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Cincinnati Reds

National League Central · CIN

ELO Rating
1479.8
408 games rated
Glicko-2 Rating
1467.2
Skill estimate (rating + uncertainty)
Glicko-2 RD
61.1
Rating uncertainty (lower = more confident)

Form & Trends L1 · last 10: 4-6

Scored first 40.2% szn
1 / 10
Over 8.5 (game) 61.0% szn
6 / 10
4 straight overs
YRFI (1st-inn run) 48.8% szn
3 / 10
YRFI allowed
/ 10
Team 5+ runs 40.2% szn
4 / 10
Won by 2+
4 / 10
1-run games
2 / 10

Bars show the last 10 games; “szn” is the full-season rate. Over line = 8.5 combined runs (descriptive benchmark, not a market line).

Season Stats (82 games)

Record
39-43
Runs/g
4.27
Runs allowed/g
4.89
Scored first %
40.2%
YRFI (offense)
25.6%
YRFI (allowed)
32.9%
Home runs/g
4.15
Away runs/g
4.39

Run-Line / Margin Profile

Cover -1.5
34.1%
Cover +1.5
59.8%
Win by 2+
34.1%
Win by 1
13.4%
Lose by 1
12.2%
Blowout for
14.6%
Blowout against
24.4%

Splits

Home
19-22
RF 4.15 · RA 4.95
Away
20-21
RF 4.39 · RA 4.83
Day
18-18
RF 4.42 · RA 4.92
Night
21-25
RF 4.15 · RA 4.87

Top Starters

Pitcher GS IP ERA FIP K-BB%
Chase Burns 16 91.7 2.36 3.17 +22.6%
Rhett Lowder 12 58.0 4.81 4.67 +7.3%
Chris Paddack 9 53.0 6.96 4.78 +8.1%
Andrew Abbott 17 90.0 3.90 5.04 +7.7%
Nick Lodolo 9 46.7 5.59 5.37 +9.5%

Top Batters

Batter PA AVG OBP HR wOBA*
JJ Bleday 232 0.241 0.351 13 0.371
Nathaniel Lowe 203 0.253 0.345 9 0.358
Elly De La Cruz 280 0.268 0.339 12 0.357
Sal Stewart 357 0.254 0.342 15 0.350
Dane Myers 135 0.252 0.356 3 0.330