predicted sports
← All Teams
BAL logo

Baltimore Orioles

American League East · BAL

ELO Rating
1487.7
411 games rated
Glicko-2 Rating
1482.1
Skill estimate (rating + uncertainty)
Glicko-2 RD
60.9
Rating uncertainty (lower = more confident)

Form & Trends L2 · last 10: 4-6

Scored first 44.7% szn
5 / 10
Over 8.5 (game) 55.3% szn
4 / 10
YRFI (1st-inn run) 47.1% szn
7 / 10
YRFI allowed
/ 10
Team 5+ runs 47.1% szn
4 / 10
Won by 2+
3 / 10
1-run games
4 / 10

Bars show the last 10 games; “szn” is the full-season rate. Over line = 8.5 combined runs (descriptive benchmark, not a market line).

Season Stats (85 games)

Record
39-46
Runs/g
4.61
Runs allowed/g
4.92
Scored first %
44.7%
YRFI (offense)
22.4%
YRFI (allowed)
35.3%
Home runs/g
4.89
Away runs/g
4.32

Run-Line / Margin Profile

Cover -1.5
38.8%
Cover +1.5
61.2%
Win by 2+
38.8%
Win by 1
7.1%
Lose by 1
15.3%
Blowout for
12.9%
Blowout against
12.9%

Splits

Home
23-21
RF 4.89 · RA 4.61
Away
16-25
RF 4.32 · RA 5.24
Day
17-21
RF 4.76 · RA 5.47
Night
22-25
RF 4.49 · RA 4.47

Top Starters

Pitcher GS IP ERA FIP K-BB%
Shane Baz 16 94.0 4.31 3.83 +11.3%
Brandon Young 13 72.3 3.11 3.94 +9.6%
Trevor Rogers 15 79.3 4.99 3.98 +11.0%
Kyle Bradish 17 93.0 3.77 4.12 +12.2%
Keegan Akin 2 25.3 5.68 4.36 +7.0%

Top Batters

Batter PA AVG OBP HR wOBA*
Pete Alonso 368 0.252 0.342 19 0.358
Adley Rutschman 232 0.255 0.332 8 0.343
Taylor Ward 387 0.256 0.388 5 0.343
Blaze Alexander 203 0.302 0.357 3 0.340
Samuel Basallo 258 0.251 0.310 12 0.332