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San Francisco Giants

Mon, Aug 31

7:15 PM ET

ATL

Atlanta Braves

Our analysts — Vega & Scoop — weigh in about 3 hours before first pitch.

Starting Pitchers

SF starter Locked

Landen Roupp

4.07 ERA · 9.9 K/9

ATL starter Locked

Martín Pérez

3.00 ERA · 7.5 K/9

By the conditions

history for tonight's matchup

What's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).

ATL — home · vs RHP · warm

Win %

56% +5%

league 51%

Avg total

9.1 +0.5

league 8.6

YRFI

48% -1%

league 49%

Scored first

54% +4%

league 50%

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Head to Head 2026 season

5 games

7.0 avg runs

ATL

Team Data (season)

SF		ATL
35-48	Record	49-33
4.06	Runs / g	4.76
4.66	Runs allowed / g	3.68
43%	Scored first	54%
31%	Cover -1.5	48%
53%	Cover +1.5	72%

Form & Market Trends

how often each market hit · L10 / this season / last season

SF San Francisco Giants n 10/83/162

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	50%	42%	50%
Cover -1.5	30%	31%	33%
Cover +1.5	70%	53%	69%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	30%	35%	39%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	30%	45%	49%
Team over 4.5	30%	36%	41%
Team F5 over 2.5	20%	31%	41%
Run in 1st (RFI)	40%	45%	53%
Extra innings	0%	7%	9%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	60%	42%	48%
Race to 4	30%	31%	43%
Race to 5	30%	30%	28%
Race to 6	20%	25%	26%
Race to 7	10%	17%	19%

ATL Atlanta Braves n 10/82/162

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	30%	60%	47%
Cover -1.5	10%	48%	34%
Cover +1.5	60%	72%	69%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	30%	45%	38%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	30%	51%	49%
Team over 4.5	20%	50%	41%
Team F5 over 2.5	20%	43%	42%
Run in 1st (RFI)	30%	54%	51%
Extra innings	10%	7%	10%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	30%	50%	41%
Race to 4	20%	48%	40%
Race to 5	0%	41%	33%
Race to 6	10%	35%	28%
Race to 7	0%	27%	23%

Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.

Projected Lineups

Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).

SF San Francisco Giants Probable

1 Matt Chapman R 0.760

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.266	0.821	14	105g
at Truist Park	0.281	0.968	2	8g
Overall	0.240	0.760	55	364g

2 Luis Arraez L 0.735

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.263	0.640	4	115g
at Truist Park	0.358	0.835	1	12g
Overall	0.305	0.735	15	392g

3 Casey Schmitt R 0.755

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.265	0.803	14	74g
at Truist Park	0.333	0.810	1	5g
Overall	0.261	0.755	34	210g

4 Rafael Devers L 0.836

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.220	0.690	14	107g
at Truist Park	0.375	1.157	3	10g
Overall	0.257	0.836	77	384g

5 Heliot Ramos R 0.746

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.287	0.857	16	89g
at Truist Park	0.318	1.059	2	6g
Overall	0.263	0.746	47	323g

6 Bryce Eldridge L 0.795

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.333	1.066	2	11g
at Truist Park	0.333	1.067	1	2g
Overall	0.250	0.795	6	51g

7 Victor Bericoto R 0.804

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.280	0.920	3	10g
at Truist Park	no games
Overall	0.250	0.804	3	17g

8 Eric Haase R 0.707

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.238	0.666	3	35g
at Truist Park	0.333	0.733	0	4g
Overall	0.231	0.707	11	84g

9 Jonah Cox R 0.833

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.176	0.471	0	10g
at Truist Park	—	—	0	2g
Overall	0.292	0.833	1	19g

ATL Atlanta Braves Probable

1 Mauricio Dubón R 0.674

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.257	0.650	10	241g
at Truist Park	0.274	0.767	5	38g
Overall	0.259	0.674	19	350g

2 Michael Harris II L 0.728

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.265	0.722	36	240g
at Truist Park	0.250	0.667	19	168g
Overall	0.266	0.728	51	348g

3 Ozzie Albies S 0.698

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.229	0.647	23	234g
at Truist Park	0.258	0.694	15	163g
Overall	0.251	0.698	38	340g

4 Matt Olson L 0.826

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.262	0.822	50	284g
at Truist Park	0.263	0.787	30	200g
Overall	0.262	0.826	78	408g

5 Drake Baldwin L 0.800

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.260	0.780	23	134g
at Truist Park	0.278	0.817	16	89g
Overall	0.267	0.800	33	183g

6 Austin Riley R 0.719

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.258	0.771	34	200g
at Truist Park	0.270	0.777	21	134g
Overall	0.245	0.719	43	294g

7 Joey Bart R 0.720

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.261	0.700	9	137g
at Truist Park	0.111	0.269	0	5g
Overall	0.254	0.720	20	199g

8 Eli White R 0.665

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.272	0.737	9	127g
at Truist Park	0.211	0.595	6	87g
Overall	0.235	0.665	14	191g

9 Ha-Seong Kim R 0.633

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.234	0.704	14	123g
at Truist Park	0.171	0.450	1	32g
Overall	0.215	0.633	16	195g

Injured List

SF (9 on IL)

Daniel Susac C Injured 10-Day
Harrison Bader CF Injured 10-Day
José Buttó P Injured 60-Day
Jason Foley P Injured 60-Day
Randy Rodríguez P Injured 60-Day
Keaton Winn P Injured 15-Day
Hayden Birdsong P Injured 60-Day
Joel Peguero P Injured 60-Day
Rowan Wick P Injured 60-Day

ATL (10 on IL)

Robert Suarez P Injured 15-Day
Danny Young P Injured 60-Day
Kyle Farmer DH Injured 10-Day
Joey Wentz P Injured 60-Day
Sean Murphy C Injured 60-Day
Spencer Strider P Injured 60-Day
Ronald Acuña Jr. RF Injured 10-Day
AJ Smith-Shawver P Injured 60-Day
Joe Jiménez P Injured 60-Day
Spencer Schwellenbach P Injured 60-Day