ATL @ CWS | Predicted Sports

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ATL

Atlanta Braves

Thu, Aug 20

7:40 PM ET

CWS

Chicago White Sox

Our analysts — Vega & Scoop — weigh in about 3 hours before first pitch.

Starting Pitchers

ATL starter Locked

Martín Pérez

3.00 ERA · 7.5 K/9

CWS starter Locked

Anthony Kay

4.50 ERA · 7.3 K/9

By the conditions

history for tonight's matchup

What's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).

CWS — home · vs RHP · warm

Win %

56% +5%

league 51%

Avg total

9.1 +0.5

league 8.6

YRFI

48% -1%

league 49%

Scored first

54% +4%

league 50%

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Head to Head 2026 season

ATL

2 games

7.0 avg runs

CWS

Team Data (season)

ATL		CWS
49-33	Record	44-39
4.76	Runs / g	4.82
3.68	Runs allowed / g	4.53
54%	Scored first	55%
48%	Cover -1.5	33%
72%	Cover +1.5	65%

Form & Market Trends

how often each market hit · L10 / this season / last season

ATL Atlanta Braves n 10/82/162

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	30%	60%	47%
Cover -1.5	10%	48%	34%
Cover +1.5	60%	72%	69%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	30%	45%	38%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	30%	51%	49%
Team over 4.5	20%	50%	41%
Team F5 over 2.5	20%	43%	42%
Run in 1st (RFI)	30%	54%	51%
Extra innings	10%	7%	10%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	30%	50%	41%
Race to 4	20%	48%	40%
Race to 5	0%	41%	33%
Race to 6	10%	35%	28%
Race to 7	0%	27%	23%

CWS Chicago White Sox n 10/83/162

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	50%	53%	37%
Cover -1.5	20%	33%	28%
Cover +1.5	90%	65%	59%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	20%	37%	36%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	50%	55%	49%
Team over 4.5	30%	51%	34%
Team F5 over 2.5	20%	48%	34%
Run in 1st (RFI)	40%	57%	56%
Extra innings	20%	13%	6%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	50%	46%	40%
Race to 4	50%	41%	30%
Race to 5	20%	36%	27%
Race to 6	30%	35%	23%
Race to 7	20%	19%	19%

Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.

Projected Lineups

Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).

ATL Atlanta Braves Probable

1 Mauricio Dubón R 0.674

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.264	0.717	9	109g
at Rate Field	0.300	0.664	0	3g
Overall	0.259	0.674	19	350g

2 Michael Harris II L 0.728

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.269	0.743	15	108g
at Rate Field	0.300	0.600	0	2g
Overall	0.266	0.728	51	348g

3 Ozzie Albies S 0.698

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.298	0.805	15	106g
at Rate Field	0.400	0.900	0	2g
Overall	0.251	0.698	38	340g

4 Matt Olson L 0.826

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.264	0.833	28	124g
at Rate Field	0.429	1.841	2	2g
Overall	0.262	0.826	78	408g

5 Drake Baldwin L 0.800

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.292	0.870	10	49g
at Rate Field	no games
Overall	0.267	0.800	33	183g

6 Austin Riley R 0.719

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.219	0.609	9	94g
at Rate Field	0.143	0.393	0	2g
Overall	0.245	0.719	43	294g

7 Joey Bart R 0.720

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.239	0.767	11	62g
at Rate Field	no games
Overall	0.254	0.720	20	199g

8 Eli White R 0.665

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.185	0.568	5	64g
at Rate Field	0.000	0.333	0	2g
Overall	0.235	0.665	14	191g

9 Ha-Seong Kim R 0.633

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.182	0.510	2	72g
at Rate Field	no games
Overall	0.215	0.633	16	195g

CWS Chicago White Sox Probable

1 Sam Antonacci L 0.762

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.302	0.873	1	17g
at Rate Field	0.291	0.719	1	34g
Overall	0.291	0.762	4	65g

2 Miguel Vargas R 0.712

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.227	0.701	9	92g
at Rate Field	0.231	0.742	17	113g
Overall	0.222	0.712	40	292g

3 Colson Montgomery L 0.801

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.268	0.921	11	39g
at Rate Field	0.227	0.773	19	74g
Overall	0.230	0.801	41	151g

4 Kyle Teel L 0.767

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.133	0.435	0	6g
at Rate Field	0.303	0.819	4	46g
Overall	0.269	0.767	9	84g

5 Randal Grichuk R 0.786

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.263	0.786	16	115g
at Rate Field	0.259	0.860	5	23g
Overall	0.260	0.786	30	273g

6 Braden Montgomery S 0.752

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.200	0.583	0	5g
at Rate Field	0.268	0.846	2	11g
Overall	0.250	0.752	2	18g

7 Tristan Peters L 0.735

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.206	0.515	0	21g
at Rate Field	0.269	0.754	3	40g
Overall	0.268	0.735	4	83g

8 Chase Meidroth R 0.677

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.251	0.666	5	57g
at Rate Field	0.272	0.693	5	105g
Overall	0.263	0.677	11	203g

9 Jacob Gonzalez L 0.660

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.222	0.522	0	5g
at Rate Field	0.257	0.705	1	11g
Overall	0.235	0.660	2	23g

Injured List

ATL (10 on IL)

Robert Suarez P Injured 15-Day
Danny Young P Injured 60-Day
Kyle Farmer DH Injured 10-Day
Joey Wentz P Injured 60-Day
Sean Murphy C Injured 60-Day
Spencer Strider P Injured 60-Day
Ronald Acuña Jr. RF Injured 10-Day
AJ Smith-Shawver P Injured 60-Day
Joe Jiménez P Injured 60-Day
Spencer Schwellenbach P Injured 60-Day

CWS (12 on IL)

Mike Vasil P Injured 60-Day
Tanner Murray LF Injured 60-Day
Austin Hays LF Injured 60-Day
Ky Bush P Injured 60-Day
Brooks Baldwin LF Injured 60-Day
Prelander Berroa P Injured 60-Day
Jordan Leasure P Injured 60-Day
Drew Thorpe P Injured 60-Day
Everson Pereira RF Injured 7-Day
Tyler Gilbert P Injured 15-Day
Noah Schultz P Injured 15-Day
Munetaka Murakami 1B Injured 10-Day