BOS @ NYY | Predicted Sports

Games Stats Teams Players Explore

← Games Yankee Stadium

BOS

Boston Red Sox

Sat, Aug 29

7:35 PM ET

NYY

New York Yankees

Our analysts — Vega & Scoop — weigh in about 3 hours before first pitch.

Starting Pitchers

BOS starter Locked

Ranger Suarez

2.83 ERA · 9.1 K/9

NYY starter Locked

Will Warren

3.75 ERA · 9.0 K/9

By the conditions

history for tonight's matchup

What's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).

NYY — home · vs RHP · warm

Win %

56% +5%

league 51%

Avg total

9.1 +0.5

league 8.6

YRFI

48% -1%

league 49%

Scored first

54% +4%

league 50%

🔒

Unlock the full model

Go Pro

Head to Head 2026 season

BOS

9 games

6.7 avg runs

NYY

Team Data (season)

BOS		NYY
36-46	Record	48-35
4.00	Runs / g	4.93
3.94	Runs allowed / g	3.71
46%	Scored first	60%
37%	Cover -1.5	47%
59%	Cover +1.5	73%

Form & Market Trends

how often each market hit · L10 / this season / last season

BOS Boston Red Sox n 10/82/165

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	70%	44%	55%
Cover -1.5	60%	37%	41%
Cover +1.5	80%	59%	72%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	80%	35%	44%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	30%	40%	46%
Team over 4.5	70%	41%	43%
Team F5 over 2.5	50%	33%	41%
Run in 1st (RFI)	60%	54%	53%
Extra innings	10%	6%	12%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	70%	43%	43%
Race to 4	70%	37%	42%
Race to 5	70%	34%	35%
Race to 6	40%	22%	28%
Race to 7	0%	15%	22%

NYY New York Yankees n 10/83/169

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	30%	58%	57%
Cover -1.5	20%	47%	43%
Cover +1.5	40%	73%	70%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	10%	43%	56%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	30%	45%	51%
Team over 4.5	10%	43%	50%
Team F5 over 2.5	10%	39%	49%
Run in 1st (RFI)	50%	53%	56%
Extra innings	10%	6%	8%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	40%	54%	56%
Race to 4	40%	52%	50%
Race to 5	10%	39%	41%
Race to 6	0%	33%	33%
Race to 7	0%	29%	28%

Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.

Projected Lineups

Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).

BOS Boston Red Sox Probable

1 Masataka Yoshida L 0.720

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.271	0.707	13	182g
at Yankee Stadium	0.277	0.738	2	15g
Overall	0.273	0.720	16	221g

2 Ceddanne Rafaela R 0.690

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.251	0.674	25	279g
at Yankee Stadium	0.134	0.470	2	18g
Overall	0.253	0.690	38	389g

3 Wilyer Abreu L 0.778

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.252	0.795	45	257g
at Yankee Stadium	0.079	0.182	0	15g
Overall	0.254	0.778	47	330g

4 Willson Contreras R 0.812

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.267	0.806	36	214g
at Yankee Stadium	0.375	1.250	1	2g
Overall	0.265	0.812	52	299g

5 Jarren Duran L 0.759

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.256	0.771	40	294g
at Yankee Stadium	0.169	0.440	0	19g
Overall	0.256	0.759	49	396g

6 Caleb Durbin R 0.681

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.247	0.687	12	159g
at Yankee Stadium	0.143	0.286	0	2g
Overall	0.248	0.681	17	220g

7 Anthony Seigler S 0.643

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.218	0.594	1	35g
at Yankee Stadium	1.000	3.000	0	1g
Overall	0.242	0.643	1	45g

8 Carlos Narváez R 0.673

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.219	0.640	12	123g
at Yankee Stadium	0.216	0.774	2	13g
Overall	0.227	0.673	17	174g

9 Tsung-Che Cheng L 0.243

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.077	0.297	0	5g
at Yankee Stadium	no games
Overall	0.062	0.243	0	6g

NYY New York Yankees Probable

1 Ben Rice L 0.821

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.200	0.650	8	71g
at Yankee Stadium	0.235	0.840	32	133g
Overall	0.246	0.821	56	272g

2 Cody Bellinger L 0.789

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.311	0.846	12	96g
at Yankee Stadium	0.318	0.966	26	121g
Overall	0.266	0.789	59	371g

3 Paul Goldschmidt R 0.749

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.291	0.831	19	108g
at Yankee Stadium	0.241	0.691	10	110g
Overall	0.264	0.749	46	364g

4 Jazz Chisholm Jr. L 0.752

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.244	0.726	16	105g
at Yankee Stadium	0.250	0.797	30	145g
Overall	0.241	0.752	70	378g

5 Jasson Domínguez S 0.700

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.168	0.478	1	37g
at Yankee Stadium	0.247	0.698	4	81g
Overall	0.243	0.700	15	168g

6 Anthony Volpe R 0.666

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.266	0.752	7	98g
at Yankee Stadium	0.223	0.654	20	183g
Overall	0.232	0.666	34	369g

7 Spencer Jones L 0.649

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.154	0.385	0	8g
at Yankee Stadium	0.273	0.885	1	10g
Overall	0.215	0.649	2	27g

8 Austin Wells L 0.659

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.196	0.585	4	79g
at Yankee Stadium	0.206	0.661	17	156g
Overall	0.207	0.659	40	317g

9 José Caballero R 0.658

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.243	0.711	11	103g
at Yankee Stadium	0.254	0.717	5	65g
Overall	0.236	0.658	22	339g

Injured List

BOS (12 on IL)

Marcelo Mayer 2B Injured 10-Day
Jovani Morán P Injured 15-Day
Kutter Crawford P Injured 60-Day
Tanner Houck P Injured 60-Day
Nick Sogard 3B Injured 10-Day
Roman Anthony LF Injured 60-Day
Trevor Story SS Injured 60-Day
Triston Casas 1B Injured 60-Day
Garrett Crochet P Injured 60-Day
Patrick Sandoval P Injured 60-Day
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B Injured 10-Day
Johan Oviedo P Injured 60-Day

NYY (6 on IL)

Ryan McMahon 3B Injured 10-Day
Max Fried P Injured 15-Day
Trent Grisham CF Injured 10-Day
Clarke Schmidt P Injured 60-Day
Giancarlo Stanton DH Injured 10-Day
Aaron Judge RF Injured 10-Day