STL @ CIN | Predicted Sports

Games Stats Teams Players Explore

← Games Great American Ball Park

STL

St. Louis Cardinals

Mon, Aug 17

1:40 PM ET

CIN

Cincinnati Reds

Our analysts — Vega & Scoop — weigh in about 3 hours before first pitch.

Starting Pitchers

STL starter Locked

Brycen Mautz

6.00 ERA · 6.0 K/9

CIN starter Locked

Brady Singer

5.12 ERA · 7.6 K/9

By the conditions

history for tonight's matchup

What's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).

CIN — home · vs RHP · warm

Win %

56% +5%

league 51%

Avg total

9.1 +0.5

league 8.6

YRFI

48% -1%

league 49%

Scored first

54% +4%

league 50%

🔒

Unlock the full model

Go Pro

Head to Head 2026 season

STL

5 games

10.8 avg runs

CIN

Team Data (season)

STL		CIN
43-38	Record	39-43
4.47	Runs / g	4.27
4.57	Runs allowed / g	4.89
56%	Scored first	40%
35%	Cover -1.5	34%
67%	Cover +1.5	60%

Form & Market Trends

how often each market hit · L10 / this season / last season

STL St. Louis Cardinals n 10/81/162

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	30%	53%	48%
Cover -1.5	10%	35%	32%
Cover +1.5	50%	67%	61%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	30%	44%	38%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	40%	46%	51%
Team over 4.5	30%	49%	43%
Team F5 over 2.5	30%	47%	38%
Run in 1st (RFI)	50%	46%	51%
Extra innings	0%	11%	7%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	20%	47%	40%
Race to 4	10%	36%	35%
Race to 5	10%	37%	31%
Race to 6	10%	31%	26%
Race to 7	10%	20%	19%

CIN Cincinnati Reds n 10/82/164

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	40%	48%	51%
Cover -1.5	40%	34%	37%
Cover +1.5	60%	60%	64%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	30%	43%	40%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	60%	61%	44%
Team over 4.5	40%	40%	45%
Team F5 over 2.5	50%	40%	40%
Run in 1st (RFI)	30%	49%	49%
Extra innings	10%	12%	9%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	30%	40%	49%
Race to 4	30%	40%	41%
Race to 5	30%	35%	36%
Race to 6	30%	29%	29%
Race to 7	10%	18%	20%

Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.

Projected Lineups

Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).

STL St. Louis Cardinals Probable

1 JJ Wetherholt L 0.752

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.274	0.745	8	60g
at Great American Ball Park	0.200	0.533	0	2g
Overall	0.265	0.752	12	77g

2 Iván Herrera R 0.798

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.280	0.778	21	187g
at Great American Ball Park	0.367	0.975	1	8g
Overall	0.279	0.798	34	260g

3 Alec Burleson L 0.778

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.288	0.818	46	277g
at Great American Ball Park	0.132	0.353	0	10g
Overall	0.279	0.778	52	371g

4 Jordan Walker R 0.689

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.228	0.651	19	175g
at Great American Ball Park	0.206	0.731	2	10g
Overall	0.240	0.689	29	241g

5 Lars Nootbaar L 0.725

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.239	0.719	20	197g
at Great American Ball Park	0.233	0.678	1	12g
Overall	0.242	0.725	27	264g

6 Masyn Winn R 0.688

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.258	0.689	19	250g
at Great American Ball Park	0.254	0.714	2	14g
Overall	0.257	0.688	27	352g

7 Nathan Church L 0.640

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.250	0.674	6	71g
at Great American Ball Park	0.100	0.282	0	3g
Overall	0.240	0.640	6	90g

8 Blaze Jordan R 0.697

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.194	0.445	0	9g
at Great American Ball Park	no games
Overall	0.250	0.697	1	14g

9 José Fermín R 0.653

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.208	0.622	3	86g
at Great American Ball Park	1.000	5.000	1	2g
Overall	0.241	0.653	4	122g

CIN Cincinnati Reds Probable

1 Elly De La Cruz S 0.792

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.249	0.777	21	101g
at Great American Ball Park	0.282	0.848	30	190g
Overall	0.261	0.792	59	387g

2 Sal Stewart R 0.809

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.278	0.902	4	20g
at Great American Ball Park	0.230	0.754	8	50g
Overall	0.257	0.809	20	102g

3 Spencer Steer R 0.720

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.230	0.728	16	103g
at Great American Ball Park	0.234	0.745	33	193g
Overall	0.233	0.720	54	385g

4 JJ Bleday L 0.760

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.263	0.825	12	72g
at Great American Ball Park	0.292	1.075	9	29g
Overall	0.234	0.760	47	311g

5 Dane Myers R 0.666

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.265	0.785	8	67g
at Great American Ball Park	0.224	0.623	1	34g
Overall	0.244	0.666	12	212g

6 Noelvi Marte R 0.656

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.183	0.503	3	46g
at Great American Ball Park	0.218	0.610	10	92g
Overall	0.233	0.656	22	188g

7 Tyler Stephenson R 0.739

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.268	0.897	15	80g
at Great American Ball Park	0.237	0.728	18	142g
Overall	0.242	0.739	38	292g

8 Matt McLain R 0.640

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.230	0.712	8	58g
at Great American Ball Park	0.221	0.691	13	111g
Overall	0.213	0.640	23	225g

9 Edwin Arroyo S 0.640

Split	AVG	OPS	n
vs LHP	0.200	0.400	4g
at Great American Ball Park	0.167	0.367	11g
Overall	0.279	0.640	22g

Injured List

STL (2 on IL)

Ryan Fernandez P Injured 15-Day
Ramón Urías 3B Injured 60-Day

CIN (7 on IL)

Tony Santillan P Injured 15-Day
Blake Dunn CF Injured 10-Day
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B Injured 10-Day
Brandon Williamson P Injured 60-Day
Hunter Greene P Injured 60-Day
Graham Ashcraft P Injured 60-Day
Emilio Pagán P Injured 15-Day