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MIL

Milwaukee Brewers

Tue, Jul 7

7:45 PM ET

STL

St. Louis Cardinals

Our analysts — Vega & Scoop — weigh in about 3 hours before first pitch.

Starting Pitchers

MIL starter Locked

Brandon Sproat

5.43 ERA · 9.4 K/9

STL starter Locked

Andre Pallante

3.83 ERA · 6.9 K/9

By the conditions

history for tonight's matchup

What's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).

STL — home · vs RHP · warm

Win %

56% +5%

league 51%

Avg total

9.1 +0.5

league 8.6

YRFI

48% -1%

league 49%

Scored first

54% +4%

league 50%

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Head to Head 2026 season

MIL

5 games

6.4 avg runs

STL

Team Data (season)

MIL		STL
50-31	Record	43-38
5.16	Runs / g	4.47
3.68	Runs allowed / g	4.57
58%	Scored first	56%
47%	Cover -1.5	35%
75%	Cover +1.5	67%

Form & Market Trends

how often each market hit · L10 / this season / last season

MIL Milwaukee Brewers n 10/81/171

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	50%	62%	58%
Cover -1.5	30%	47%	42%
Cover +1.5	80%	75%	71%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	50%	53%	48%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	30%	42%	46%
Team over 4.5	30%	52%	47%
Team F5 over 2.5	20%	53%	46%
Run in 1st (RFI)	20%	49%	46%
Extra innings	20%	11%	7%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	40%	52%	57%
Race to 4	30%	51%	47%
Race to 5	30%	42%	41%
Race to 6	30%	33%	32%
Race to 7	10%	21%	26%

STL St. Louis Cardinals n 10/81/162

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	30%	53%	48%
Cover -1.5	10%	35%	32%
Cover +1.5	50%	67%	61%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	30%	44%	38%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	40%	46%	51%
Team over 4.5	30%	49%	43%
Team F5 over 2.5	30%	47%	38%
Run in 1st (RFI)	50%	46%	51%
Extra innings	0%	11%	7%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	20%	47%	40%
Race to 4	10%	36%	35%
Race to 5	10%	37%	31%
Race to 6	10%	31%	26%
Race to 7	10%	20%	19%

Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.

Projected Lineups

Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).

MIL Milwaukee Brewers Probable

1 Jackson Chourio R 0.803

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.276	0.810	43	232g
at Busch Stadium	0.400	1.079	2	14g
Overall	0.278	0.803	57	338g

2 Brice Turang L 0.743

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.278	0.779	28	285g
at Busch Stadium	0.235	0.700	2	14g
Overall	0.267	0.743	37	400g

3 William Contreras R 0.790

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.270	0.768	33	274g
at Busch Stadium	0.321	0.776	0	13g
Overall	0.275	0.790	51	394g

4 Andrew Vaughn R 0.727

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.249	0.687	25	218g
at Busch Stadium	0.182	0.659	1	7g
Overall	0.256	0.727	37	313g

5 Gary Sánchez R 0.722

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.211	0.673	10	93g
at Busch Stadium	0.143	0.414	0	6g
Overall	0.223	0.722	24	168g

6 Blake Perkins S 0.630

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.218	0.613	5	146g
at Busch Stadium	0.500	1.248	0	5g
Overall	0.228	0.630	10	234g

7 Sal Frelick L 0.686

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.266	0.683	13	272g
at Busch Stadium	0.260	0.702	1	13g
Overall	0.266	0.686	18	375g

8 Cooper Pratt R 0.567

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.235	0.644	0	6g
at Busch Stadium	no games
Overall	0.222	0.567	0	12g

9 Joey Ortiz R 0.624

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.228	0.623	11	252g
at Busch Stadium	0.278	0.767	0	12g
Overall	0.224	0.624	19	371g

STL St. Louis Cardinals Probable

1 JJ Wetherholt L 0.752

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.274	0.745	8	60g
at Busch Stadium	0.253	0.683	6	40g
Overall	0.265	0.752	12	77g

2 Iván Herrera R 0.798

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.280	0.778	21	187g
at Busch Stadium	0.247	0.732	19	132g
Overall	0.279	0.798	34	260g

3 Alec Burleson L 0.778

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.288	0.818	46	277g
at Busch Stadium	0.288	0.791	24	194g
Overall	0.279	0.778	52	371g

4 Lars Nootbaar L 0.725

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.239	0.719	20	197g
at Busch Stadium	0.252	0.755	13	132g
Overall	0.242	0.725	27	264g

5 Masyn Winn R 0.688

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.258	0.689	19	250g
at Busch Stadium	0.256	0.688	14	184g
Overall	0.257	0.688	27	352g

6 Bryan Torres L 0.776

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.179	0.734	3	15g
at Busch Stadium	0.208	0.755	2	10g
Overall	0.234	0.776	3	20g

7 Blaze Jordan R 0.697

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.194	0.445	0	9g
at Busch Stadium	0.136	0.436	0	8g
Overall	0.250	0.697	1	14g

8 Nathan Church L 0.640

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.250	0.674	6	71g
at Busch Stadium	0.270	0.685	3	45g
Overall	0.240	0.640	6	90g

9 Pedro Pagés R 0.636

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.226	0.601	12	146g
at Busch Stadium	0.244	0.647	10	114g
Overall	0.230	0.636	22	225g

Injured List

MIL (9 on IL)

Quinn Priester P Injured 60-Day
Angel Zerpa P Injured 60-Day
Carlos Rodriguez P Injured 15-Day
Rob Zastryzny P Injured 15-Day
Logan Henderson P Injured 15-Day
DL Hall P Injured 15-Day
Brandon Lockridge LF Injured 10-Day
Brian Fitzpatrick P Injured 60-Day
Coleman Crow P Injured 15-Day

STL (2 on IL)

Ryan Fernandez P Injured 15-Day
Ramón Urías 3B Injured 60-Day