predicted sports
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MIA logo
MIA
Miami Marlins
Wed, Mar 18
6:05 PM ET
WSH logo
WSH
Washington Nationals
Our analysts — Vega & Scoop — weigh in about 3 hours before first pitch.

Starting Pitchers

MIA starter Probable
Braxton Garrett
14.54 ERA · 10.4 K/9
WSH starter Probable
Zack Littell
5.29 ERA · 5.5 K/9

By the conditions

history for tonight's matchup

What's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).

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Head to Head 2026 season

5
MIA
6 games
8.7 avg runs
1
WSH

Team Data (season)

MIAWSH
44-40Record43-43
4.27Runs / g5.26
4.15Runs allowed / g5.23
49%Scored first58%
38%Cover -1.536%
63%Cover +1.564%

Form & Market Trends

MIA Miami Marlins n 10/84/162
Winner & spread
L10 Szn Prev
Win 80% 52% 49%
Cover -1.5 60% 38% 35%
Cover +1.5 100% 63% 62%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread) 70% 45% 36%
Totals
L10 Szn Prev
Over 8.5 (game) 30% 51% 50%
Team over 4.5 40% 36% 44%
Team F5 over 2.5 40% 36% 37%
Run in 1st (RFI) 40% 50% 51%
Extra innings 0% 5% 9%
Race to N runs (first to score)
L10 Szn Prev
Race to 3 60% 45% 41%
Race to 4 70% 48% 40%
Race to 5 40% 30% 32%
Race to 6 30% 24% 23%
Race to 7 10% 21% 15%
WSH Washington Nationals n 10/86/162
Winner & spread
L10 Szn Prev
Win 40% 50% 41%
Cover -1.5 20% 36% 26%
Cover +1.5 60% 64% 52%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread) 70% 55% 35%
Totals
L10 Szn Prev
Over 8.5 (game) 50% 66% 56%
Team over 4.5 30% 52% 40%
Team F5 over 2.5 40% 49% 35%
Run in 1st (RFI) 60% 50% 52%
Extra innings 10% 12% 5%
Race to N runs (first to score)
L10 Szn Prev
Race to 3 70% 56% 34%
Race to 4 70% 50% 30%
Race to 5 30% 41% 27%
Race to 6 10% 31% 21%
Race to 7 10% 27% 17%

Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.

Projected Lineups

Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).

MIA Miami Marlins Probable

WSH Washington Nationals Probable

Injured List

MIA (7 on IL)
WSH (8 on IL)