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BOS logo
BOS
Boston Red Sox
Mon, Mar 16
6:05 PM ET
BAL logo
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
Our analysts — Vega & Scoop — weigh in about 3 hours before first pitch.

Starting Pitchers

BOS starter Probable
Sonny Gray
2.69 ERA · 8.1 K/9
BAL starter Probable
Kyle Bradish
3.77 ERA · 9.3 K/9

By the conditions

history for tonight's matchup

What's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).

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Head to Head 2026 season

3
BOS
6 games
10.7 avg runs
3
BAL

Team Data (season)

BOSBAL
36-46Record39-46
4.00Runs / g4.61
3.94Runs allowed / g4.92
46%Scored first45%
37%Cover -1.539%
59%Cover +1.561%

Form & Market Trends

BOS Boston Red Sox n 10/82/165
Winner & spread
L10 Szn Prev
Win 70% 44% 55%
Cover -1.5 60% 37% 41%
Cover +1.5 80% 59% 72%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread) 80% 35% 44%
Totals
L10 Szn Prev
Over 8.5 (game) 30% 40% 46%
Team over 4.5 70% 41% 43%
Team F5 over 2.5 50% 33% 41%
Run in 1st (RFI) 60% 54% 53%
Extra innings 10% 6% 12%
Race to N runs (first to score)
L10 Szn Prev
Race to 3 70% 43% 43%
Race to 4 70% 37% 42%
Race to 5 70% 34% 35%
Race to 6 40% 22% 28%
Race to 7 0% 15% 22%
BAL Baltimore Orioles n 10/85/162
Winner & spread
L10 Szn Prev
Win 40% 46% 46%
Cover -1.5 30% 39% 30%
Cover +1.5 70% 61% 61%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread) 50% 34% 40%
Totals
L10 Szn Prev
Over 8.5 (game) 40% 55% 44%
Team over 4.5 40% 47% 36%
Team F5 over 2.5 40% 38% 39%
Run in 1st (RFI) 70% 47% 51%
Extra innings 20% 7% 7%
Race to N runs (first to score)
L10 Szn Prev
Race to 3 50% 38% 46%
Race to 4 40% 38% 38%
Race to 5 40% 38% 31%
Race to 6 30% 31% 20%
Race to 7 10% 22% 14%

Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.

Projected Lineups

Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).

BOS Boston Red Sox Probable

BAL Baltimore Orioles Probable

Injured List

BOS (12 on IL)
BAL (9 on IL)