predicted sports
Games Stats Teams Players Explore
← Games Ed Smith Stadium
NYY logo
NYY
New York Yankees
Sun, Mar 15
6:05 PM ET
BAL logo
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
Our analysts — Vega & Scoop — weigh in about 3 hours before first pitch.

Starting Pitchers

NYY starter Probable
Paul Blackburn
2.50 ERA · 6.1 K/9
BAL starter Probable
Zach Eflin
2.45 ERA · 17.2 K/9

By the conditions

history for tonight's matchup

What's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).

🔒
Unlock the full model

Sign in to unlock one free pick a day, or go Pro for unlimited access.

Go Pro

Head to Head 2026 season

5
NYY
7 games
9.9 avg runs
2
BAL

Team Data (season)

NYYBAL
48-35Record39-46
4.93Runs / g4.61
3.71Runs allowed / g4.92
60%Scored first45%
47%Cover -1.539%
73%Cover +1.561%

Form & Market Trends

NYY New York Yankees n 10/83/169
Winner & spread
L10 Szn Prev
Win 30% 58% 57%
Cover -1.5 20% 47% 43%
Cover +1.5 40% 73% 70%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread) 10% 43% 56%
Totals
L10 Szn Prev
Over 8.5 (game) 30% 45% 51%
Team over 4.5 10% 43% 50%
Team F5 over 2.5 10% 39% 49%
Run in 1st (RFI) 50% 53% 56%
Extra innings 10% 6% 8%
Race to N runs (first to score)
L10 Szn Prev
Race to 3 40% 54% 56%
Race to 4 40% 52% 50%
Race to 5 10% 39% 41%
Race to 6 0% 33% 33%
Race to 7 0% 29% 28%
BAL Baltimore Orioles n 10/85/162
Winner & spread
L10 Szn Prev
Win 40% 46% 46%
Cover -1.5 30% 39% 30%
Cover +1.5 70% 61% 61%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread) 50% 34% 40%
Totals
L10 Szn Prev
Over 8.5 (game) 40% 55% 44%
Team over 4.5 40% 47% 36%
Team F5 over 2.5 40% 38% 39%
Run in 1st (RFI) 70% 47% 51%
Extra innings 20% 7% 7%
Race to N runs (first to score)
L10 Szn Prev
Race to 3 50% 38% 46%
Race to 4 40% 38% 38%
Race to 5 40% 38% 31%
Race to 6 30% 31% 20%
Race to 7 10% 22% 14%

Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.

Projected Lineups

Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).

NYY New York Yankees Probable

BAL Baltimore Orioles Probable

Injured List

NYY (6 on IL)
BAL (9 on IL)