Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants prediction — July 12, 2026
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Graded in public
The Oracle has locked its pick for this game.
Its winner, run total and first-inning call, plus the full reasoning, are ready to read.
What the AIs predict
The AI Index →
Claude Opus 4.8
Winner
SF 🔒
Total
🔒
1st inn
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GPT-5.6 Luna Pro
Winner
SF 🔒
Total
🔒
1st inn
🔒
GPT-5.6 Sol Pro
Winner
SF 🔒
Total
🔒
1st inn
🔒
Claude Sonnet 5
Winner
SF 🔒
Total
🔒
1st inn
🔒
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Winner
SF 🔒
Total
🔒
1st inn
🔒
Gemini 3.5 Flash
Winner
SF 🔒
Total
🔒
1st inn
🔒
Grok 4.5
Winner
SF 🔒
Total
🔒
1st inn
🔒
GLM 5.2
Winner
SF 🔒
Total
🔒
1st inn
🔒
Starting Pitchers
park ×0.94 · temp ×1.003 · expected total 10.3
72° (fcst) · wind 9 mph Out To RF. · 58% humidity · day game · game 4 of series
HP Willie Traynor
runs ×1.12
K ×1.01
COL starter
Locked
6.65 ERA · 7.0 K/9
starter 6.31 R/9 over ~4.8 ip
bullpen 5.33 R/9 for the rest
expected to allow 5.54 runs
pen 4.39 FIP
SF starter
Locked
5.46 ERA · 7.6 K/9
starter 5.18 R/9 over ~5.0 ip
bullpen 4.86 R/9 for the rest
expected to allow 4.77 runs
pen 4.42 FIP
Each starter's baseline (shrunk to league by sample) blended with the bullpen over the park's typical starter innings, then scaled by park run factor and game-time temperature. Descriptive, not a market edge.
Head to Head 2026 season
5
COL
9 games
12.7 avg runs
4
SF
Team Data (season)
| COL | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| 39-58 | Record | 40-55 |
| 4.79 | Runs / g | 4.13 |
| 5.69 | Runs allowed / g | 4.82 |
| 40% | Scored first | 43% |
| 26% | Cover -1.5 | 33% |
| 55% | Cover +1.5 | 55% |
Form & Market Trends
COL Colorado Rockies
n 10/97/162
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 50% | 40% | 27% |
| Cover -1.5 | 20% | 26% | 15% |
| Cover +1.5 | 70% | 55% | 41% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 20% | 33% | 25% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 60% | 61% | 56% |
| Team over 4.5 | 40% | 41% | 30% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 50% | 43% | 28% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 70% | 63% | 55% |
| Extra innings | 10% | 6% | 4% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 30% | 40% | 25% |
| Race to 4 | 40% | 34% | 15% |
| Race to 5 | 20% | 25% | 14% |
| Race to 6 | 20% | 21% | 14% |
| Race to 7 | 40% | 23% | 8% |
SF San Francisco Giants
n 10/95/162
Winner & spread
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 50% | 42% | 50% |
| Cover -1.5 | 50% | 33% | 33% |
| Cover +1.5 | 70% | 55% | 69% |
| Lead after 5 (F5 spread) | 50% | 36% | 39% |
Totals
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 (game) | 80% | 49% | 49% |
| Team over 4.5 | 50% | 37% | 41% |
| Team F5 over 2.5 | 60% | 34% | 41% |
| Run in 1st (RFI) | 60% | 47% | 53% |
| Extra innings | 0% | 6% | 9% |
Race to N runs (first to score)
| L10 | Szn | Prev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 3 | 50% | 42% | 48% |
| Race to 4 | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Race to 5 | 50% | 32% | 28% |
| Race to 6 | 50% | 27% | 26% |
| Race to 7 | 20% | 17% | 19% |
Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.
Confirmed Lineups
Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).
COL Colorado Rockies Confirmed
1 Jake McCarthy L 0.735
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.256 | 0.733 | 20 | 212g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.280 | 0.756 | 16 | 208g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.265 | 0.688 | 0 | 12g |
| Overall | 0.272 | 0.735 | 21 | 291g |
2 Mickey Moniak L 0.771
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.253 | 0.777 | 50 | 262g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.262 | 0.797 | 30 | 184g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.312 | 0.927 | 1 | 9g |
| Overall | 0.253 | 0.771 | 53 | 320g |
3 Hunter Goodman R 0.806
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.250 | 0.802 | 51 | 211g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.236 | 0.750 | 32 | 158g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.288 | 0.743 | 1 | 15g |
| Overall | 0.253 | 0.806 | 71 | 303g |
4 TJ Rumfield L 0.851
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.301 | 0.865 | 9 | 70g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.281 | 0.786 | 6 | 53g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.375 | 0.958 | 0 | 3g |
| Overall | 0.298 | 0.851 | 12 | 94g |
5 Kyle Karros R 0.730
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.255 | 0.758 | 9 | 100g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.246 | 0.710 | 6 | 82g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.316 | 0.908 | 1 | 6g |
| Overall | 0.253 | 0.730 | 10 | 135g |
6 Cole Carrigg S 0.898
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.224 | 0.785 | 1 | 18g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.324 | 1.026 | 2 | 11g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.000 | 0.111 | 0 | 3g |
| Overall | 0.281 | 0.898 | 4 | 30g |
7 Troy Johnston L 0.779
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.310 | 0.807 | 6 | 98g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.303 | 0.785 | 5 | 86g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.000 | 0.400 | 0 | 2g |
| Overall | 0.296 | 0.779 | 7 | 130g |
8 Tyler Freeman R 0.649
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.243 | 0.634 | 8 | 207g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.251 | 0.652 | 7 | 158g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.111 | 0.222 | 0 | 2g |
| Overall | 0.251 | 0.649 | 12 | 293g |
9 Ezequiel Tovar R 0.700
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.246 | 0.704 | 35 | 245g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.218 | 0.608 | 19 | 184g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.280 | 0.808 | 1 | 13g |
| Overall | 0.249 | 0.700 | 43 | 343g |
SF San Francisco Giants Confirmed
1 Heliot Ramos R 0.753
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.255 | 0.713 | 34 | 243g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.256 | 0.737 | 35 | 229g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.264 | 0.733 | 23 | 170g |
| Overall | 0.264 | 0.753 | 51 | 335g |
2 Luis Arraez L 0.743
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.321 | 0.776 | 12 | 286g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.298 | 0.722 | 11 | 306g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.328 | 0.800 | 0 | 52g |
| Overall | 0.307 | 0.743 | 16 | 404g |
3 Casey Schmitt R 0.752
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.256 | 0.723 | 22 | 145g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.251 | 0.726 | 24 | 162g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.249 | 0.729 | 16 | 110g |
| Overall | 0.259 | 0.752 | 37 | 222g |
4 Rafael Devers L 0.846
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.275 | 0.909 | 68 | 286g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.239 | 0.784 | 46 | 254g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.237 | 0.803 | 21 | 94g |
| Overall | 0.259 | 0.846 | 82 | 396g |
5 Jung Hoo Lee L 0.730
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.288 | 0.757 | 12 | 203g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.278 | 0.730 | 10 | 185g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.273 | 0.727 | 6 | 130g |
| Overall | 0.278 | 0.730 | 15 | 274g |
6 Bryce Eldridge L 0.784
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.218 | 0.688 | 5 | 49g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.248 | 0.776 | 4 | 43g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.238 | 0.824 | 5 | 32g |
| Overall | 0.249 | 0.784 | 8 | 63g |
7 Willy Adames R 0.748
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.244 | 0.774 | 56 | 294g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.226 | 0.726 | 53 | 287g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.218 | 0.675 | 17 | 127g |
| Overall | 0.235 | 0.748 | 77 | 414g |
8 Drew Gilbert L 0.652
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.228 | 0.689 | 7 | 82g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.187 | 0.557 | 2 | 81g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.187 | 0.566 | 2 | 56g |
| Overall | 0.220 | 0.652 | 7 | 113g |
9 Drew Cavanaugh L 0.536
| Split | AVG | OPS | HR | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 0.207 | 0.488 | 0 | 10g |
| Mild (60–80°) | 0.267 | 0.579 | 0 | 6g |
| at Oracle Park | 0.250 | 0.618 | 0 | 6g |
| Overall | 0.233 | 0.536 | 0 | 11g |
Injured List
COL (11 on IL)
- Tomoyuki Sugano P Injured 15-Day
- Jaden Hill P Injured 15-Day
- Jose Quintana P Injured 60-Day
- Brenton Doyle CF Injured 10-Day
- Kris Bryant DH Injured 60-Day
- Blas Castaño P Injured 15-Day
- Seth Halvorsen P Injured 15-Day
- Chase Dollander P Injured 60-Day
- Welinton Herrera P Injured 60-Day
- Pierson Ohl P Injured 60-Day
- McCade Brown P Injured 60-Day
SF (11 on IL)
- Jonah Cox CF Injured 10-Day
- Victor Bericoto RF Injured 10-Day
- Matt Chapman 3B Injured 10-Day
- Daniel Susac C Injured 10-Day
- Matt Gage P Injured 15-Day
- Harrison Bader CF Injured 10-Day
- José Buttó P Injured 60-Day
- Randy Rodríguez P Injured 60-Day
- Hayden Birdsong P Injured 60-Day
- Joel Peguero P Injured 60-Day
- Rowan Wick P Injured 60-Day
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