Who will win Athletics vs Chicago White Sox?

Predicted Sports' model gives the Chicago White Sox a 58% win probability for July 12, 2026. Every pick is graded in public — the full track record is at predictedsports.com/accuracy.

Athletics vs Chicago White Sox Prediction — Jul 12, 2026

Games Stats Teams Players EdgePro Answers ExplorePro

← Games Rate Field

ATH

Athletics

1 - 9

Live

CWS

Chicago White Sox

42% Win Probability 58%

O The Oracle Pro Graded in public

The Oracle has locked its pick for this game.

Its winner, run total and first-inning call, plus the full reasoning, are ready to read.

What the AIs predict

The AI Index →

Claude Opus 4.8

Winner

CWS 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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DeepSeek V4 Pro

Winner

CWS 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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GLM 5.2

Winner

CWS 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Gemini 3.5 Flash

Winner

CWS 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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GPT-5.6 Luna Pro

Winner

CWS 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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GPT-5.6 Sol Pro

Winner

CWS 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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Grok 4.5

Winner

CWS 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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Claude Sonnet 5

Winner

CWS 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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Starting Pitchers

park ×0.96 · temp ×1.021 · expected total 9.1

80° (fcst) · wind 7 mph In From LF. · 80% humidity · day game · game 3 of series HP Doug Eddings runs ×1.02 K ×1.02

ATH starter Locked

J.T. Ginn

3.19 ERA · 7.8 K/9

starter 3.68 R/9 over ~5.3 ip

bullpen 5.65 R/9 for the rest

expected to allow 4.42 runs

pen 4.57 FIP

CWS starter Locked

Noah Schultz

6.00 ERA · 8.1 K/9

starter 5.22 R/9 over ~4.7 ip

bullpen 4.28 R/9 for the rest

expected to allow 4.70 runs

pen 4.20 FIP

Each starter's baseline (shrunk to league by sample) blended with the bullpen over the park's typical starter innings, then scaled by park run factor and game-time temperature. Descriptive, not a market edge.

Head to Head 2026 season

ATH

5 games

10.2 avg runs

CWS

Team Data (season)

ATH		CWS
41-54	Record	49-45
4.43	Runs / g	4.73
5.46	Runs allowed / g	4.45
43%	Scored first	55%
28%	Cover -1.5	32%
57%	Cover +1.5	66%

Form & Market Trends

how often each market hit · L10 / this season / last season

ATH Athletics n 10/95/162

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	10%	43%	47%
Cover -1.5	10%	28%	35%
Cover +1.5	30%	57%	60%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	10%	41%	40%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	50%	56%	55%
Team over 4.5	30%	45%	45%
Team F5 over 2.5	20%	42%	44%
Run in 1st (RFI)	50%	54%	51%
Extra innings	0%	9%	9%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	10%	46%	46%
Race to 4	10%	38%	40%
Race to 5	10%	33%	36%
Race to 6	10%	26%	25%
Race to 7	10%	18%	18%

CWS Chicago White Sox n 10/94/162

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	40%	52%	37%
Cover -1.5	20%	32%	28%
Cover +1.5	70%	66%	59%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	30%	37%	36%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	40%	54%	49%
Team over 4.5	30%	49%	34%
Team F5 over 2.5	40%	48%	34%
Run in 1st (RFI)	30%	54%	56%
Extra innings	10%	13%	6%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	40%	46%	40%
Race to 4	30%	40%	30%
Race to 5	30%	36%	27%
Race to 6	20%	34%	23%
Race to 7	20%	20%	19%

Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.

Confirmed Lineups

Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).

ATH Athletics Confirmed

1 Jacob Wilson R 0.749

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.294	0.763	5	61g
Hot (80°+)	0.289	0.732	4	64g
at Rate Field	0.412	1.059	0	4g
Overall	0.296	0.749	17	208g

2 Joshua Kuroda-Grauer R 0.976

Split	AVG	OPS	n
vs LHP	0.421	1.000	5g
Hot (80°+)	0.441	0.971	9g
at Rate Field	0.429	1.000	2g
Overall	0.439	0.976	11g

3 Shea Langeliers R 0.798

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.258	0.808	23	95g
Hot (80°+)	0.251	0.808	26	100g
at Rate Field	0.200	0.717	1	4g
Overall	0.252	0.798	80	345g

4 Jonah Heim S 0.623

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.203	0.609	12	96g
Hot (80°+)	0.247	0.753	10	58g
at Rate Field	0.062	0.125	0	5g
Overall	0.219	0.623	33	305g

5 Colby Thomas R 0.649

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.244	0.769	9	44g
Hot (80°+)	0.216	0.704	7	46g
at Rate Field	0.000	0.000	0	2g
Overall	0.218	0.649	10	95g

6 Joey Meneses R 0.575

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.202	0.509	1	30g
Hot (80°+)	0.236	0.616	2	31g
at Rate Field	0.000	0.000	0	1g
Overall	0.225	0.575	3	84g

7 Lawrence Butler L 0.722

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.218	0.648	8	91g
Hot (80°+)	0.254	0.818	25	120g
at Rate Field	0.316	0.961	1	5g
Overall	0.237	0.722	48	364g

8 Henry Bolte R 0.688

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.235	0.621	2	18g
Hot (80°+)	0.253	0.661	3	25g
at Rate Field	0.000	0.000	0	2g
Overall	0.272	0.688	3	53g

9 Alika Williams R 0.627

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.216	0.594	0	30g
Hot (80°+)	0.279	0.788	2	26g
at Rate Field	0.000	0.000	0	2g
Overall	0.238	0.627	2	72g

CWS Chicago White Sox Confirmed

1 Sam Antonacci L 0.753

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.283	0.730	4	52g
Hot (80°+)	0.303	0.811	2	21g
at Rate Field	0.298	0.728	1	38g
Overall	0.288	0.753	5	74g

2 Munetaka Murakami L 0.920

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.255	0.944	14	41g
Hot (80°+)	0.529	1.991	5	4g
at Rate Field	0.208	0.873	10	31g
Overall	0.236	0.920	20	59g

3 Miguel Vargas R 0.712

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.220	0.721	32	205g
Hot (80°+)	0.219	0.703	13	79g
at Rate Field	0.227	0.737	18	118g
Overall	0.220	0.712	42	303g

4 Colson Montgomery L 0.791

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.218	0.765	32	116g
Hot (80°+)	0.217	0.789	15	48g
at Rate Field	0.222	0.743	19	79g
Overall	0.228	0.791	44	161g

5 Andrew Benintendi L 0.715

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.239	0.721	41	266g
Hot (80°+)	0.231	0.703	13	81g
at Rate Field	0.258	0.793	16	98g
Overall	0.236	0.715	50	333g

6 Kyle Teel L 0.746

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.271	0.780	10	82g
Hot (80°+)	0.270	0.710	3	33g
at Rate Field	0.285	0.780	4	50g
Overall	0.257	0.746	10	93g

7 Braden Montgomery S 0.651

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.239	0.747	2	18g
Hot (80°+)	0.182	0.583	1	12g
at Rate Field	0.236	0.706	2	15g
Overall	0.220	0.651	2	28g

8 Tristan Peters L 0.794

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.287	0.789	5	67g
Hot (80°+)	0.319	0.883	2	24g
at Rate Field	0.286	0.818	4	45g
Overall	0.288	0.794	6	94g

9 Chase Meidroth R 0.678

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.265	0.681	7	151g
Hot (80°+)	0.246	0.632	1	54g
at Rate Field	0.275	0.703	5	110g
Overall	0.261	0.678	12	214g

Injured List

ATH (7 on IL)

Zack Gelof 3B Injured 10-Day
Nick Kurtz 1B Injured 10-Day
Luis Severino P Injured 60-Day
Brent Rooker DH Injured 10-Day
Brooks Kriske P Injured 60-Day
Gunnar Hoglund P Injured 60-Day
Denzel Clarke CF Injured 60-Day

CWS (10 on IL)

Mike Vasil P Injured 60-Day
Tanner Murray LF Injured 60-Day
Austin Hays LF Injured 60-Day
Ky Bush P Injured 60-Day
Brooks Baldwin LF Injured 60-Day
Prelander Berroa P Injured 60-Day
Jordan Leasure P Injured 60-Day
Drew Thorpe P Injured 60-Day
Everson Pereira RF Injured 7-Day
Tyler Gilbert P Injured 15-Day

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Athletics vs Chicago White Sox prediction — July 12, 2026

What the AIs predict

Starting Pitchers

Head to Head 2026 season

Team Data (season)

Form & Market Trends

Confirmed Lineups

ATH Athletics Confirmed

CWS Chicago White Sox Confirmed

Injured List

See the whole board, not just the score.