Who will win Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers?

Predicted Sports' model gives the Philadelphia Phillies a 51% win probability for July 12, 2026. Every pick is graded in public — the full track record is at predictedsports.com/accuracy.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers Prediction — Jul 12, 2026

Games Stats Teams Players EdgePro Answers ExplorePro

← Games Comerica Park

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

5 - 0

Live

DET

Detroit Tigers

51% Win Probability 49%

O The Oracle Pro Graded in public

The Oracle has locked its pick for this game.

Its winner, run total and first-inning call, plus the full reasoning, are ready to read.

What the AIs predict

The AI Index →

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Winner

DET 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Claude Opus 4.8

Winner

PHI 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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GLM 5.2

Winner

PHI 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Gemini 3.5 Flash

Winner

PHI 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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GPT-5.6 Luna Pro

Winner

DET 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Grok 4.5

Winner

DET 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Claude Sonnet 5

Winner

PHI 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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GPT-5.6 Sol Pro

Winner

PHI 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Starting Pitchers

park ×0.97 · temp ×1.033 · expected total 7.6

82° (fcst) · wind 9 mph In From RF. · 53% humidity · day game · game 3 of series HP Edwin Moscoso runs ×0.98 K ×1.04

PHI starter Locked

Zack Wheeler

2.28 ERA · 10.1 K/9

starter 3.02 R/9 over ~6.0 ip

bullpen 4.84 R/9 for the rest

expected to allow 3.63 runs

pen 3.86 FIP

DET starter Locked

Tarik Skubal

3.06 ERA · 10.7 K/9

starter 3.80 R/9 over ~5.7 ip

bullpen 4.16 R/9 for the rest

expected to allow 3.93 runs

pen 4.10 FIP

Each starter's baseline (shrunk to league by sample) blended with the bullpen over the park's typical starter innings, then scaled by park run factor and game-time temperature. Descriptive, not a market edge.

Head to Head 2026 season

PHI

2 games

9.0 avg runs

DET

Team Data (season)

PHI		DET
53-43	Record	44-51
4.36	Runs / g	4.28
4.52	Runs allowed / g	3.98
59%	Scored first	56%
35%	Cover -1.5	37%
61%	Cover +1.5	63%

Form & Market Trends

how often each market hit · L10 / this season / last season

PHI Philadelphia Phillies n 10/96/166

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	50%	55%	58%
Cover -1.5	40%	35%	43%
Cover +1.5	50%	61%	72%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	40%	43%	48%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	40%	48%	49%
Team over 4.5	30%	41%	44%
Team F5 over 2.5	50%	38%	41%
Run in 1st (RFI)	20%	51%	48%
Extra innings	0%	7%	10%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	40%	48%	51%
Race to 4	40%	34%	45%
Race to 5	20%	31%	37%
Race to 6	20%	30%	31%
Race to 7	10%	18%	27%

DET Detroit Tigers n 10/95/170

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	80%	46%	54%
Cover -1.5	80%	37%	40%
Cover +1.5	80%	63%	62%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	70%	46%	46%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	40%	41%	52%
Team over 4.5	60%	42%	45%
Team F5 over 2.5	60%	44%	45%
Run in 1st (RFI)	40%	44%	45%
Extra innings	10%	8%	9%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	80%	48%	47%
Race to 4	70%	41%	46%
Race to 5	60%	38%	36%
Race to 6	60%	27%	31%
Race to 7	20%	17%	24%

Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.

Confirmed Lineups

Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).

PHI Philadelphia Phillies Confirmed

1 Trea Turner R 0.756

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.285	0.763	13	119g
Hot (80°+)	0.305	0.828	20	125g
at Comerica Park	0.158	0.449	0	5g
Overall	0.282	0.756	46	363g

2 Kyle Schwarber L 0.890

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.256	0.890	42	138g
Hot (80°+)	0.254	0.908	43	138g
at Comerica Park	0.158	0.462	0	5g
Overall	0.244	0.890	129	412g

3 Bryce Harper L 0.872

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.250	0.743	18	130g
Hot (80°+)	0.262	0.855	27	130g
at Comerica Park	0.400	1.355	2	5g
Overall	0.271	0.872	78	381g

4 Alec Bohm R 0.723

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.259	0.736	17	127g
Hot (80°+)	0.273	0.759	17	122g
at Comerica Park	0.190	0.571	1	5g
Overall	0.265	0.723	37	362g

5 Edmundo Sosa R 0.713

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.300	0.860	17	119g
Hot (80°+)	0.267	0.772	12	82g
at Comerica Park	0.000	0.000	0	1g
Overall	0.256	0.713	23	234g

6 Brandon Marsh L 0.773

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.255	0.721	9	107g
Hot (80°+)	0.261	0.791	21	131g
at Comerica Park	0.312	0.853	1	4g
Overall	0.271	0.773	42	367g

7 Derek Hill R 0.681

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.255	0.749	8	66g
Hot (80°+)	0.255	0.766	10	54g
at Comerica Park	0.571	1.571	1	2g
Overall	0.241	0.681	17	182g

8 J.T. Realmuto R 0.691

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.214	0.589	8	112g
Hot (80°+)	0.249	0.727	13	98g
at Comerica Park	0.250	0.750	0	1g
Overall	0.248	0.691	34	308g

9 Bryson Stott L 0.691

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.253	0.694	6	110g
Hot (80°+)	0.251	0.709	13	137g
at Comerica Park	0.312	0.764	0	5g
Overall	0.248	0.691	31	393g

DET Detroit Tigers Confirmed

1 Kevin McGonigle L 0.813

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.301	0.872	7	66g
Hot (80°+)	0.282	0.850	3	19g
at Comerica Park	0.273	0.800	3	48g
Overall	0.285	0.813	8	92g

2 Dillon Dingler R 0.746

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.253	0.726	25	179g
Hot (80°+)	0.251	0.666	5	70g
at Comerica Park	0.245	0.688	15	122g
Overall	0.259	0.746	34	247g

3 Colt Keith L 0.699

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.250	0.699	31	303g
Hot (80°+)	0.269	0.751	14	113g
at Comerica Park	0.246	0.682	13	187g
Overall	0.251	0.699	34	382g

4 Riley Greene L 0.813

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.271	0.847	65	306g
Hot (80°+)	0.270	0.844	24	113g
at Comerica Park	0.269	0.800	31	198g
Overall	0.265	0.813	74	403g

5 Spencer Torkelson R 0.725

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.217	0.692	40	259g
Hot (80°+)	0.235	0.752	18	89g
at Comerica Park	0.244	0.797	34	175g
Overall	0.225	0.725	57	356g

6 Kerry Carpenter L 0.818

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.262	0.835	54	241g
Hot (80°+)	0.266	0.888	18	76g
at Comerica Park	0.252	0.849	35	150g
Overall	0.256	0.818	60	304g

7 Zach McKinstry L 0.676

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.223	0.647	16	270g
Hot (80°+)	0.246	0.758	11	110g
at Comerica Park	0.280	0.834	16	174g
Overall	0.231	0.676	21	345g

8 Matt Vierling R 0.677

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.235	0.664	15	189g
Hot (80°+)	0.231	0.649	7	92g
at Comerica Park	0.239	0.693	16	139g
Overall	0.238	0.677	22	262g

9 James Outman L 0.514

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.147	0.532	12	133g
Hot (80°+)	0.178	0.604	3	37g
at Comerica Park	0.172	0.595	1	15g
Overall	0.145	0.514	13	184g

Injured List

PHI (4 on IL)

Johan Rojas CF Injured 60-Day
Adolis García RF Injured 60-Day
Tanner Banks P Injured 15-Day
Lou Trivino III P Injured 15-Day

DET (12 on IL)

Will Vest P Injured 15-Day
Justin Verlander P Injured 60-Day
Burch Smith P Injured 60-Day
Brant Hurter P Injured 60-Day
Reese Olson P Injured 60-Day
Javier Báez SS Injured 60-Day
Wenceel Pérez RF Injured 60-Day
Parker Meadows CF Injured 60-Day
Jackson Jobe P Injured 60-Day
Bailey Horn P Injured 60-Day
Gleyber Torres 2B Injured 10-Day
Trey Sweeney SS Injured 60-Day

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers prediction — July 12, 2026

What the AIs predict

Starting Pitchers

Head to Head 2026 season

Team Data (season)

Form & Market Trends

Confirmed Lineups

PHI Philadelphia Phillies Confirmed

DET Detroit Tigers Confirmed

Injured List

See the whole board, not just the score.