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BAL logo
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
Mon, Mar 24
1:05 PM ET
WSH logo
WSH
Washington Nationals
Our analysts — Vega & Scoop — weigh in about 3 hours before first pitch.

Starting Pitchers

BAL starter Probable
Cade Povich
5.21 ERA · 9.5 K/9
WSH starter Probable
Jake Irvin
5.70 ERA · 6.2 K/9

By the conditions

history for tonight's matchup

What's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).

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Head to Head 2025 season

1
BAL
6 games
9.0 avg runs
5
WSH

Team Data (season)

BALWSH
75-87Record66-96
4.18Runs / g4.24
4.86Runs allowed / g5.55
48%Scored first47%
30%Cover -1.526%
61%Cover +1.552%

Form & Market Trends

BAL Baltimore Orioles n 10/85/162
Winner & spread
L10 Szn Prev
Win 40% 46% 46%
Cover -1.5 30% 39% 30%
Cover +1.5 70% 61% 61%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread) 50% 34% 40%
Totals
L10 Szn Prev
Over 8.5 (game) 40% 55% 44%
Team over 4.5 40% 47% 36%
Team F5 over 2.5 40% 38% 39%
Run in 1st (RFI) 70% 47% 51%
Extra innings 20% 7% 7%
Race to N runs (first to score)
L10 Szn Prev
Race to 3 50% 38% 46%
Race to 4 40% 38% 38%
Race to 5 40% 38% 31%
Race to 6 30% 31% 20%
Race to 7 10% 22% 14%
WSH Washington Nationals n 10/85/162
Winner & spread
L10 Szn Prev
Win 40% 51% 41%
Cover -1.5 20% 36% 26%
Cover +1.5 60% 65% 52%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread) 70% 55% 35%
Totals
L10 Szn Prev
Over 8.5 (game) 40% 66% 56%
Team over 4.5 30% 53% 40%
Team F5 over 2.5 40% 49% 35%
Run in 1st (RFI) 50% 49% 52%
Extra innings 10% 12% 5%
Race to N runs (first to score)
L10 Szn Prev
Race to 3 70% 56% 34%
Race to 4 70% 51% 30%
Race to 5 30% 41% 27%
Race to 6 10% 32% 21%
Race to 7 10% 27% 17%

Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.

Projected Lineups

Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).

BAL Baltimore Orioles Probable

WSH Washington Nationals Probable

Injured List

BAL (9 on IL)
WSH (8 on IL)