Who will win Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers?

Predicted Sports' model gives the Los Angeles Dodgers a 65% win probability for July 11, 2026. Every pick is graded in public — the full track record is at predictedsports.com/accuracy.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction — Jul 11, 2026

Games Stats Teams Players EdgePro Answers ExplorePro

← Games UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium

Arizona Diamondbacks

9 - 2

Final

LAD

Los Angeles Dodgers

35% Win Probability 65%

O The Oracle Pro Graded in public

The Oracle has locked its pick for this game.

Its winner, run total and first-inning call, plus the full reasoning, are ready to read.

What the AIs predict

The AI Index →

GPT-5.6 Sol Pro

Winner

LAD 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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Claude Opus 4.8

Winner

LAD 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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DeepSeek V4 Pro

Winner

LAD 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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GPT-5.6 Luna Pro

Winner

LAD 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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GLM 5.2

Winner

LAD 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Grok 4.5

Winner

LAD 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Gemini 3.5 Flash

Winner

LAD 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Claude Sonnet 5

Winner

LAD 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Starting Pitchers

park ×0.94 · temp ×1.021 · expected total 7.5

79° · wind 4 mph In From CF. · night game · game 2 of series HP Rob Drake runs ×0.91 K ×1.03

AZ starter Locked

Brandon Pfaadt

4.70 ERA · 6.9 K/9

starter 4.31 R/9 over ~5.4 ip

bullpen 4.42 R/9 for the rest

expected to allow 4.18 runs

pen 3.94 FIP

LAD starter Locked

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

2.85 ERA · 8.6 K/9

starter 3.14 R/9 over ~6.3 ip

bullpen 4.07 R/9 for the rest

expected to allow 3.28 runs

pen 3.73 FIP

Each starter's baseline (shrunk to league by sample) blended with the bullpen over the park's typical starter innings, then scaled by park run factor and game-time temperature. Descriptive, not a market edge.

Head to Head 2026 season

9 games

8.3 avg runs

LAD

Team Data (season)

AZ		LAD
48-47	Record	61-35
4.33	Runs / g	5.24
4.48	Runs allowed / g	3.67
42%	Scored first	56%
34%	Cover -1.5	46%
65%	Cover +1.5	76%

Form & Market Trends

how often each market hit · L10 / this season / last season

AZ Arizona Diamondbacks n 10/95/162

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	50%	51%	49%
Cover -1.5	40%	34%	36%
Cover +1.5	60%	65%	67%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	60%	43%	49%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	50%	47%	57%
Team over 4.5	30%	44%	54%
Team F5 over 2.5	40%	33%	45%
Run in 1st (RFI)	60%	57%	57%
Extra innings	10%	7%	12%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	50%	42%	51%
Race to 4	40%	41%	43%
Race to 5	30%	36%	40%
Race to 6	30%	27%	30%
Race to 7	30%	21%	19%

LAD Los Angeles Dodgers n 10/96/179

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	50%	64%	59%
Cover -1.5	20%	46%	42%
Cover +1.5	60%	76%	73%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	40%	54%	45%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	40%	47%	51%
Team over 4.5	20%	45%	55%
Team F5 over 2.5	30%	49%	47%
Run in 1st (RFI)	50%	48%	51%
Extra innings	10%	1%	10%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	40%	52%	53%
Race to 4	30%	51%	46%
Race to 5	10%	40%	44%
Race to 6	10%	33%	32%
Race to 7	10%	28%	24%

Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.

Confirmed Lineups

Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).

AZ Arizona Diamondbacks Confirmed

1 Ketel Marte S 0.874

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.271	0.866	57	243g
Mild (60–80°)	0.276	0.860	52	250g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.182	0.536	1	5g
Overall	0.280	0.874	81	353g

2 Geraldo Perdomo S 0.779

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.267	0.783	21	250g
Mild (60–80°)	0.293	0.822	24	251g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.263	0.807	1	5g
Overall	0.274	0.779	29	350g

3 Corbin Carroll L 0.814

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.237	0.796	50	279g
Mild (60–80°)	0.245	0.796	44	279g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.105	0.296	0	5g
Overall	0.247	0.814	66	393g

4 Gabriel Moreno R 0.776

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.275	0.763	15	170g
Mild (60–80°)	0.277	0.770	15	167g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.375	0.882	0	4g
Overall	0.282	0.776	20	248g

5 Max Kepler L 0.678

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.233	0.681	24	202g
Mild (60–80°)	0.235	0.673	15	175g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.333	0.667	0	1g
Overall	0.231	0.678	27	248g

6 Tim Tawa R 0.629

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.183	0.641	8	80g
Mild (60–80°)	0.196	0.569	4	73g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.583	1.583	1	3g
Overall	0.204	0.629	9	112g

7 Nolan Arenado R 0.702

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.254	0.705	29	248g
Mild (60–80°)	0.229	0.647	22	183g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.125	0.612	1	5g
Overall	0.254	0.702	40	348g

8 James McCann R 0.674

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.261	0.748	9	78g
Mild (60–80°)	0.249	0.686	9	86g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.286	1.429	2	2g
Overall	0.240	0.674	15	131g

9 Tommy Troy R 0.662

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.180	0.558	3	30g
Mild (60–80°)	0.226	0.677	4	35g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.000	0.500	0	1g
Overall	0.223	0.662	4	39g

LAD Los Angeles Dodgers Confirmed

1 Shohei Ohtani L 1.000

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.299	1.033	100	304g
Mild (60–80°)	0.288	1.002	103	312g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.268	0.897	12	43g
Overall	0.291	1.000	141	437g

2 Andy Pages R 0.738

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.249	0.724	42	269g
Mild (60–80°)	0.258	0.734	41	287g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.293	0.870	8	48g
Overall	0.257	0.738	59	391g

3 Freddie Freeman L 0.852

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.290	0.864	48	294g
Mild (60–80°)	0.273	0.830	51	303g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.258	0.732	7	49g
Overall	0.286	0.852	67	417g

4 Mookie Betts R 0.779

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.263	0.774	37	245g
Mild (60–80°)	0.261	0.768	40	260g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.219	0.692	5	31g
Overall	0.265	0.779	54	358g

5 Max Muncy L 0.832

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.252	0.860	47	217g
Mild (60–80°)	0.227	0.785	39	224g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.231	0.771	9	45g
Overall	0.240	0.832	57	294g

6 Kyle Tucker L 0.837

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.266	0.852	40	226g
Mild (60–80°)	0.262	0.824	37	222g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.216	0.617	2	47g
Overall	0.264	0.837	53	314g

7 Teoscar Hernández R 0.777

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.251	0.757	49	261g
Mild (60–80°)	0.260	0.781	54	277g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.241	0.675	3	34g
Overall	0.257	0.777	74	383g

8 Dalton Rushing L 0.700

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.232	0.692	10	89g
Mild (60–80°)	0.252	0.770	12	87g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.253	0.745	3	30g
Overall	0.231	0.700	14	114g

9 Tommy Edman S 0.704

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.250	0.668	9	121g
Mild (60–80°)	0.255	0.719	20	137g
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium	0.343	0.839	0	13g
Overall	0.249	0.704	24	187g

Injured List

AZ (10 on IL)

Zac Gallen P Injured 15-Day
Corbin Burnes P Injured 60-Day
A.J. Puk P Injured 60-Day
Michael Soroka P Injured 15-Day
Jordan Lawlar LF Injured 10-Day
Blake Walston P Injured 60-Day
Cristian Mena P Injured 60-Day
Ryne Nelson P Injured 60-Day
Justin Martinez P Injured 60-Day
Andrew Saalfrank P Injured 60-Day

LAD (11 on IL)

Edwin Díaz P Injured 60-Day
Jake Cousins P Injured 60-Day
Tyler Glasnow P Injured 60-Day
Will Smith C Injured 10-Day
Bobby Miller P Injured 60-Day
Enrique Hernández 1B Injured 10-Day
Brusdar Graterol P Injured 60-Day
Blake Treinen P Injured 15-Day
Gavin Stone P Injured 60-Day
Blake Snell P Injured 60-Day
Ben Casparius P Injured 60-Day

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers prediction — July 11, 2026

What the AIs predict

Starting Pitchers

Head to Head 2026 season

Team Data (season)

Form & Market Trends

Confirmed Lineups

AZ Arizona Diamondbacks Confirmed

LAD Los Angeles Dodgers Confirmed

Injured List

See the whole board, not just the score.