Who will win Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants?

Predicted Sports' model gives the San Francisco Giants a 53% win probability for July 11, 2026. Every pick is graded in public — the full track record is at predictedsports.com/accuracy.

Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants Prediction — Jul 11, 2026

Games Stats Teams Players EdgePro Answers ExplorePro

← Games Oracle Park

COL

Colorado Rockies

2 - 4

Final

San Francisco Giants

47% Win Probability 53%

O The Oracle Pro Graded in public

The Oracle has locked its pick for this game.

Its winner, run total and first-inning call, plus the full reasoning, are ready to read.

What the AIs predict

The AI Index →

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Winner

SF 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Claude Opus 4.8

Winner

SF 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Claude Sonnet 5

Winner

SF 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Gemini 3.5 Flash

Winner

SF 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Grok 4.5

Winner

SF 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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GPT-5.6 Luna Pro

Winner

SF 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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GPT-5.6 Sol Pro

Winner

SF 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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GLM 5.2

Winner

SF 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Starting Pitchers

park ×0.94 · temp ×0.985 · expected total 10.2

70° · wind 8 mph Varies. · 70% humidity · day game · game 3 of series HP Lance Barksdale runs ×0.99 K ×0.98

COL starter Locked

Kyle Freeland

7.36 ERA · 8.1 K/9

starter 6.40 R/9 over ~4.8 ip

bullpen 5.35 R/9 for the rest

expected to allow 5.50 runs

pen 4.39 FIP

SF starter Locked

Tyler Mahle

5.31 ERA · 8.4 K/9

starter 5.20 R/9 over ~5.1 ip

bullpen 4.86 R/9 for the rest

expected to allow 4.70 runs

pen 4.42 FIP

Each starter's baseline (shrunk to league by sample) blended with the bullpen over the park's typical starter innings, then scaled by park run factor and game-time temperature. Descriptive, not a market edge.

Head to Head 2026 season

COL

9 games

12.7 avg runs

Team Data (season)

COL		SF
39-58	Record	40-55
4.79	Runs / g	4.13
5.69	Runs allowed / g	4.82
40%	Scored first	43%
26%	Cover -1.5	33%
55%	Cover +1.5	55%

Form & Market Trends

how often each market hit · L10 / this season / last season

COL Colorado Rockies n 10/97/162

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	50%	40%	27%
Cover -1.5	20%	26%	15%
Cover +1.5	70%	55%	41%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	20%	33%	25%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	60%	61%	56%
Team over 4.5	40%	41%	30%
Team F5 over 2.5	50%	43%	28%
Run in 1st (RFI)	70%	63%	55%
Extra innings	10%	6%	4%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	30%	40%	25%
Race to 4	40%	34%	15%
Race to 5	20%	25%	14%
Race to 6	20%	21%	14%
Race to 7	40%	23%	8%

SF San Francisco Giants n 10/95/162

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	50%	42%	50%
Cover -1.5	50%	33%	33%
Cover +1.5	70%	55%	69%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	50%	36%	39%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	80%	49%	49%
Team over 4.5	50%	37%	41%
Team F5 over 2.5	60%	34%	41%
Run in 1st (RFI)	60%	47%	53%
Extra innings	0%	6%	9%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	50%	42%	48%
Race to 4	50%	33%	43%
Race to 5	50%	32%	28%
Race to 6	50%	27%	26%
Race to 7	20%	17%	19%

Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.

Confirmed Lineups

Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).

COL Colorado Rockies Confirmed

1 Jake McCarthy L 0.735

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.256	0.733	20	212g
Mild (60–80°)	0.280	0.756	16	208g
at Oracle Park	0.265	0.688	0	12g
Overall	0.272	0.735	21	291g

2 Mickey Moniak L 0.771

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.253	0.777	50	262g
Mild (60–80°)	0.262	0.797	30	184g
at Oracle Park	0.312	0.927	1	9g
Overall	0.253	0.771	53	320g

3 Hunter Goodman R 0.806

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.250	0.802	51	211g
Mild (60–80°)	0.236	0.750	32	158g
at Oracle Park	0.288	0.743	1	15g
Overall	0.253	0.806	71	303g

4 TJ Rumfield L 0.851

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.301	0.865	9	70g
Mild (60–80°)	0.281	0.786	6	53g
at Oracle Park	0.375	0.958	0	3g
Overall	0.298	0.851	12	94g

5 Kyle Karros R 0.730

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.255	0.758	9	100g
Mild (60–80°)	0.246	0.710	6	82g
at Oracle Park	0.316	0.908	1	6g
Overall	0.253	0.730	10	135g

6 Troy Johnston L 0.779

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.310	0.807	6	98g
Mild (60–80°)	0.303	0.785	5	86g
at Oracle Park	0.000	0.400	0	2g
Overall	0.296	0.779	7	130g

7 Edouard Julien L 0.624

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.207	0.613	13	185g
Mild (60–80°)	0.221	0.668	13	157g
at Oracle Park	0.000	0.000	0	3g
Overall	0.212	0.624	14	237g

8 Ezequiel Tovar R 0.700

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.246	0.704	35	245g
Mild (60–80°)	0.218	0.608	19	184g
at Oracle Park	0.280	0.808	1	13g
Overall	0.249	0.700	43	343g

9 Brett Sullivan L 0.636

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.176	0.550	4	45g
Mild (60–80°)	0.223	0.677	4	41g
at Oracle Park	0.333	1.000	0	1g
Overall	0.215	0.636	5	58g

SF San Francisco Giants Confirmed

1 Heliot Ramos R 0.753

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.285	0.854	17	92g
Mild (60–80°)	0.256	0.737	35	229g
at Oracle Park	0.264	0.733	23	170g
Overall	0.264	0.753	51	335g

2 Luis Arraez L 0.743

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.271	0.654	4	118g
Mild (60–80°)	0.298	0.722	11	306g
at Oracle Park	0.328	0.800	0	52g
Overall	0.307	0.743	16	404g

3 Casey Schmitt R 0.752

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.265	0.804	15	77g
Mild (60–80°)	0.251	0.726	24	162g
at Oracle Park	0.249	0.729	16	110g
Overall	0.259	0.752	37	222g

4 Rafael Devers L 0.846

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.219	0.684	14	110g
Mild (60–80°)	0.239	0.784	46	254g
at Oracle Park	0.237	0.803	21	94g
Overall	0.259	0.846	82	396g

5 Willy Adames R 0.748

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.210	0.682	21	120g
Mild (60–80°)	0.226	0.726	53	287g
at Oracle Park	0.218	0.675	17	127g
Overall	0.235	0.748	77	414g

6 Bryce Eldridge L 0.784

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.354	1.113	3	14g
Mild (60–80°)	0.248	0.776	4	43g
at Oracle Park	0.238	0.824	5	32g
Overall	0.249	0.784	8	63g

7 Jung Hoo Lee L 0.730

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.248	0.644	3	71g
Mild (60–80°)	0.278	0.730	10	185g
at Oracle Park	0.273	0.727	6	130g
Overall	0.278	0.730	15	274g

8 Jesus Rodriguez R 0.694

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.250	0.625	0	3g
Mild (60–80°)	0.250	0.768	1	8g
at Oracle Park	0.321	0.809	1	9g
Overall	0.238	0.694	2	15g

9 Drew Gilbert L 0.652

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.190	0.507	0	31g
Mild (60–80°)	0.187	0.557	2	81g
at Oracle Park	0.187	0.566	2	56g
Overall	0.220	0.652	7	113g

Injured List

COL (11 on IL)

Tomoyuki Sugano P Injured 15-Day
Jaden Hill P Injured 15-Day
Jose Quintana P Injured 60-Day
Brenton Doyle CF Injured 10-Day
Kris Bryant DH Injured 60-Day
Blas Castaño P Injured 15-Day
Seth Halvorsen P Injured 15-Day
Chase Dollander P Injured 60-Day
Welinton Herrera P Injured 60-Day
Pierson Ohl P Injured 60-Day
McCade Brown P Injured 60-Day

SF (11 on IL)

Jonah Cox CF Injured 10-Day
Victor Bericoto RF Injured 10-Day
Matt Chapman 3B Injured 10-Day
Daniel Susac C Injured 10-Day
Matt Gage P Injured 15-Day
Harrison Bader CF Injured 10-Day
José Buttó P Injured 60-Day
Randy Rodríguez P Injured 60-Day
Hayden Birdsong P Injured 60-Day
Joel Peguero P Injured 60-Day
Rowan Wick P Injured 60-Day

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Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants prediction — July 11, 2026

What the AIs predict

Starting Pitchers

Head to Head 2026 season

Team Data (season)

Form & Market Trends

Confirmed Lineups

COL Colorado Rockies Confirmed

SF San Francisco Giants Confirmed

Injured List

See the whole board, not just the score.