Who will win Athletics vs Chicago White Sox?

Predicted Sports' model gives the Chicago White Sox a 57% win probability for July 11, 2026. Every pick is graded in public — the full track record is at predictedsports.com/accuracy.

Athletics vs Chicago White Sox Prediction — Jul 11, 2026

Games Stats Teams Players EdgePro Answers ExplorePro

← Games Rate Field

ATH

Athletics

0 - 1

Final

CWS

Chicago White Sox

43% Win Probability 57%

O The Oracle Pro Graded in public

The Oracle has locked its pick for this game.

Its winner, run total and first-inning call, plus the full reasoning, are ready to read.

What the AIs predict

The AI Index →

Claude Opus 4.8

Winner

CWS 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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DeepSeek V4 Pro

Winner

CWS 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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GPT-5.6 Sol Pro

Winner

CWS 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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GLM 5.2

Winner

CWS 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Claude Sonnet 5

Winner

CWS 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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GPT-5.6 Luna Pro

Winner

CWS 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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Grok 4.5

Winner

CWS 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Gemini 3.5 Flash

Winner

CWS 🔒

Total

🔒

1st inn

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Starting Pitchers

park ×0.97 · temp ×1.012 · expected total 8.9

79° · wind 6 mph In From LF. · 98% humidity · day game · game 2 of series HP Gabe Morales runs ×0.90 K ×1.00

ATH starter Locked

Gage Jump

3.51 ERA · 8.9 K/9

starter 4.15 R/9 over ~5.2 ip

bullpen 5.68 R/9 for the rest

expected to allow 4.71 runs

pen 4.55 FIP

CWS starter Locked

Bryan Hudson

2.20 ERA · 8.6 K/9

starter 4.00 R/9 over ~3.0 ip

bullpen 4.36 R/9 for the rest

expected to allow 4.16 runs

pen 4.17 FIP

Each starter's baseline (shrunk to league by sample) blended with the bullpen over the park's typical starter innings, then scaled by park run factor and game-time temperature. Descriptive, not a market edge.

Head to Head 2026 season

ATH

6 games

10.2 avg runs

CWS

Team Data (season)

ATH		CWS
41-55	Record	50-45
4.40	Runs / g	4.78
5.50	Runs allowed / g	4.41
44%	Scored first	55%
28%	Cover -1.5	33%
56%	Cover +1.5	66%

Form & Market Trends

how often each market hit · L10 / this season / last season

ATH Athletics n 10/96/162

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	10%	43%	47%
Cover -1.5	10%	28%	35%
Cover +1.5	30%	56%	60%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	10%	41%	40%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	50%	56%	55%
Team over 4.5	30%	45%	45%
Team F5 over 2.5	20%	42%	44%
Run in 1st (RFI)	50%	54%	51%
Extra innings	0%	9%	9%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	10%	46%	46%
Race to 4	10%	38%	40%
Race to 5	10%	32%	36%
Race to 6	10%	26%	25%
Race to 7	10%	18%	18%

CWS Chicago White Sox n 10/95/162

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	50%	53%	37%
Cover -1.5	30%	33%	28%
Cover +1.5	80%	66%	59%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	40%	38%	36%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	50%	55%	49%
Team over 4.5	40%	49%	34%
Team F5 over 2.5	50%	48%	34%
Run in 1st (RFI)	30%	55%	56%
Extra innings	10%	13%	6%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	50%	46%	40%
Race to 4	40%	41%	30%
Race to 5	40%	37%	27%
Race to 6	30%	35%	23%
Race to 7	30%	21%	19%

Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.

Confirmed Lineups

Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).

ATH Athletics Confirmed

1 Jacob Wilson R 0.748

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.293	0.759	5	62g
Mild (60–80°)	0.296	0.759	11	123g
at Rate Field	0.381	0.952	0	5g
Overall	0.296	0.748	17	209g

2 Tyler Soderstrom L 0.798

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.283	0.847	9	70g
Mild (60–80°)	0.242	0.745	23	177g
at Rate Field	0.300	1.233	4	5g
Overall	0.258	0.798	48	303g

3 Shea Langeliers R 0.799

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.258	0.813	24	96g
Mild (60–80°)	0.259	0.808	46	206g
at Rate Field	0.211	0.829	2	5g
Overall	0.252	0.799	81	346g

4 Jonah Heim S 0.623

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.204	0.607	12	97g
Mild (60–80°)	0.212	0.597	21	229g
at Rate Field	0.100	0.200	0	6g
Overall	0.219	0.623	33	306g

5 Joshua Kuroda-Grauer R 0.956

Split	AVG	OPS	n
vs LHP	0.391	0.957	6g
Mild (60–80°)	0.429	1.000	2g
at Rate Field	0.364	0.909	3g
Overall	0.422	0.956	12g

6 Lawrence Butler L 0.720

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.214	0.637	8	92g
Mild (60–80°)	0.230	0.680	21	204g
at Rate Field	0.261	0.805	1	6g
Overall	0.236	0.720	48	365g

7 Carlos Cortes L 0.810

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.270	0.740	1	29g
Mild (60–80°)	0.298	0.840	6	63g
at Rate Field	0.250	0.650	0	3g
Overall	0.289	0.810	10	115g

8 Jeff McNeil L 0.675

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.232	0.591	0	80g
Mild (60–80°)	0.234	0.668	15	210g
at Rate Field	0.000	0.000	0	2g
Overall	0.237	0.675	27	341g

9 Henry Bolte R 0.677

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.225	0.595	2	19g
Mild (60–80°)	0.288	0.686	0	27g
at Rate Field	0.000	0.000	0	3g
Overall	0.267	0.677	3	54g

CWS Chicago White Sox Confirmed

1 Randal Grichuk R 0.774

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.257	0.770	16	120g
Mild (60–80°)	0.256	0.790	23	190g
at Rate Field	0.224	0.739	5	27g
Overall	0.256	0.774	30	281g

2 Munetaka Murakami L 0.910

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.186	0.860	6	18g
Mild (60–80°)	0.229	0.897	13	41g
at Rate Field	0.202	0.855	10	32g
Overall	0.232	0.910	20	60g

3 Miguel Vargas R 0.714

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.222	0.692	10	98g
Mild (60–80°)	0.225	0.730	26	181g
at Rate Field	0.230	0.742	18	119g
Overall	0.221	0.714	42	304g

4 Colson Montgomery L 0.789

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.257	0.868	12	45g
Mild (60–80°)	0.236	0.808	26	98g
at Rate Field	0.222	0.739	19	80g
Overall	0.228	0.789	44	162g

5 Chase Meidroth R 0.675

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.253	0.671	5	63g
Mild (60–80°)	0.257	0.678	11	129g
at Rate Field	0.272	0.697	5	111g
Overall	0.260	0.675	12	215g

6 Braden Montgomery S 0.692

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.182	0.448	0	10g
Mild (60–80°)	0.250	0.704	1	16g
at Rate Field	0.254	0.776	3	16g
Overall	0.231	0.692	3	29g

7 Luisangel Acuña R 0.598

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.236	0.606	3	67g
Mild (60–80°)	0.221	0.574	4	126g
at Rate Field	0.260	0.573	0	34g
Overall	0.243	0.598	4	185g

8 Junior Perez R 0.526

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.130	0.391	1	9g
Mild (60–80°)	0.250	0.808	1	9g
at Rate Field	0.118	0.235	0	9g
Overall	0.156	0.526	2	18g

9 Drew Romo S 0.497

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs LHP	0.111	0.311	0	11g
Mild (60–80°)	0.145	0.546	4	25g
at Rate Field	0.145	0.572	4	20g
Overall	0.145	0.497	5	54g

Injured List

ATH (7 on IL)

Zack Gelof 3B Injured 10-Day
Nick Kurtz 1B Injured 10-Day
Luis Severino P Injured 60-Day
Brent Rooker DH Injured 10-Day
Brooks Kriske P Injured 60-Day
Gunnar Hoglund P Injured 60-Day
Denzel Clarke CF Injured 60-Day

CWS (10 on IL)

Mike Vasil P Injured 60-Day
Tanner Murray LF Injured 60-Day
Austin Hays LF Injured 60-Day
Ky Bush P Injured 60-Day
Brooks Baldwin LF Injured 60-Day
Prelander Berroa P Injured 60-Day
Jordan Leasure P Injured 60-Day
Drew Thorpe P Injured 60-Day
Everson Pereira RF Injured 7-Day
Tyler Gilbert P Injured 15-Day

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Athletics vs Chicago White Sox prediction — July 11, 2026

What the AIs predict

Starting Pitchers

Head to Head 2026 season

Team Data (season)

Form & Market Trends

Confirmed Lineups

ATH Athletics Confirmed

CWS Chicago White Sox Confirmed

Injured List

See the whole board, not just the score.