Who will win Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins?

Predicted Sports' model gives the Minnesota Twins a 62% win probability for July 11, 2026. Every pick is graded in public — the full track record is at predictedsports.com/accuracy.

Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins Prediction — Jul 11, 2026

Games Stats Teams Players EdgePro Answers ExplorePro

← Games Target Field

LAA

Los Angeles Angels

3 - 5

Final

MIN

Minnesota Twins

38% Win Probability 62%

O The Oracle Pro Graded in public

The Oracle has locked its pick for this game.

Its winner, run total and first-inning call, plus the full reasoning, are ready to read.

What the AIs predict

The AI Index →

Claude Sonnet 5

Winner

MIN 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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Claude Opus 4.8

Winner

MIN 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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DeepSeek V4 Pro

Winner

MIN 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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GPT-5.6 Sol Pro

Winner

MIN 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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Gemini 3.5 Flash

Winner

MIN 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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Grok 4.5

Winner

MIN 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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GLM 5.2

Winner

MIN 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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GPT-5.6 Luna Pro

Winner

MIN 🔒

Total

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1st inn

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Starting Pitchers

park ×1.06 · temp ×1.048 · expected total 10.9

86° · wind 7 mph Out To LF. · 62% humidity · day game · game 2 of series HP Chris Segal runs ×0.99 K ×1.01

LAA starter Locked

Ryan Johnson

6.75 ERA · 6.8 K/9

starter 5.26 R/9 over ~4.9 ip

bullpen 4.98 R/9 for the rest

expected to allow 5.71 runs

pen 4.48 FIP

MIN starter Locked

Joe Ryan

3.34 ERA · 10.4 K/9

starter 3.96 R/9 over ~5.4 ip

bullpen 5.66 R/9 for the rest

expected to allow 5.15 runs

pen 4.59 FIP

Each starter's baseline (shrunk to league by sample) blended with the bullpen over the park's typical starter innings, then scaled by park run factor and game-time temperature. Descriptive, not a market edge.

Head to Head 2026 season

LAA

3 games

7.0 avg runs

MIN

Team Data (season)

LAA		MIN
38-59	Record	48-49
4.43	Runs / g	4.86
5.00	Runs allowed / g	5.00
47%	Scored first	54%
29%	Cover -1.5	38%
56%	Cover +1.5	64%

Form & Market Trends

how often each market hit · L10 / this season / last season

LAA Los Angeles Angels n 10/97/162

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	20%	39%	44%
Cover -1.5	10%	29%	27%
Cover +1.5	40%	56%	57%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	20%	43%	36%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	50%	48%	56%
Team over 4.5	30%	40%	36%
Team F5 over 2.5	30%	44%	40%
Run in 1st (RFI)	60%	53%	57%
Extra innings	0%	11%	9%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	40%	40%	39%
Race to 4	20%	38%	39%
Race to 5	10%	31%	30%
Race to 6	10%	27%	23%
Race to 7	10%	22%	16%

MIN Minnesota Twins n 10/97/162

Winner & spread

	L10	Szn	Prev
Win	70%	49%	43%
Cover -1.5	60%	38%	34%
Cover +1.5	80%	64%	60%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread)	60%	48%	40%

Totals

	L10	Szn	Prev
Over 8.5 (game)	30%	55%	49%
Team over 4.5	50%	49%	41%
Team F5 over 2.5	60%	52%	36%
Run in 1st (RFI)	50%	56%	53%
Extra innings	0%	5%	9%

Race to N runs (first to score)

	L10	Szn	Prev
Race to 3	60%	53%	43%
Race to 4	50%	47%	38%
Race to 5	40%	35%	32%
Race to 6	40%	25%	23%
Race to 7	20%	19%	17%

Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.

Confirmed Lineups

Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).

LAA Los Angeles Angels Confirmed

1 Zach Neto R 0.762

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.239	0.730	50	296g
Hot (80°+)	0.241	0.713	14	89g
at Target Field	0.306	0.898	2	9g
Overall	0.248	0.762	68	377g

2 Mike Trout R 0.824

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.234	0.844	47	189g
Hot (80°+)	0.269	0.938	11	44g
at Target Field	0.273	0.727	1	5g
Overall	0.232	0.824	54	237g

3 Nolan Schanuel L 0.718

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.271	0.735	24	288g
Hot (80°+)	0.241	0.687	7	81g
at Target Field	0.400	1.076	1	8g
Overall	0.260	0.718	31	356g

4 Jorge Soler R 0.728

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.220	0.707	35	223g
Hot (80°+)	0.216	0.727	11	65g
at Target Field	0.148	0.673	1	8g
Overall	0.228	0.728	45	300g

5 Vaughn Grissom R 0.614

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.210	0.587	5	59g
Hot (80°+)	0.192	0.526	1	16g
at Target Field	0.188	0.625	1	4g
Overall	0.228	0.614	5	87g

6 Jo Adell R 0.708

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.221	0.672	49	297g
Hot (80°+)	0.239	0.765	22	83g
at Target Field	0.048	0.139	0	6g
Overall	0.229	0.708	70	378g

7 Wade Meckler L 0.793

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.313	0.809	2	36g
Hot (80°+)	0.375	0.911	0	6g
at Target Field	0.500	1.181	0	3g
Overall	0.307	0.793	2	43g

8 Denzer Guzman R 0.676

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.252	0.683	5	32g
Hot (80°+)	0.348	1.052	2	7g
at Target Field	0.375	1.125	1	3g
Overall	0.242	0.676	6	41g

9 Logan O'Hoppe R 0.649

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.221	0.626	32	253g
Hot (80°+)	0.224	0.673	12	70g
at Target Field	0.080	0.379	1	7g
Overall	0.226	0.649	43	323g

MIN Minnesota Twins Confirmed

1 Trevor Larnach L 0.762

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.256	0.760	38	281g
Hot (80°+)	0.268	0.813	14	82g
at Target Field	0.267	0.790	20	171g
Overall	0.262	0.762	39	334g

2 Brooks Lee S 0.669

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.247	0.696	24	209g
Hot (80°+)	0.237	0.645	7	84g
at Target Field	0.246	0.680	16	144g
Overall	0.238	0.669	33	282g

3 Josh Bell S 0.729

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.248	0.741	42	272g
Hot (80°+)	0.256	0.765	14	91g
at Target Field	0.255	0.686	4	52g
Overall	0.245	0.729	54	379g

4 Kody Clemens L 0.731

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.219	0.738	37	197g
Hot (80°+)	0.210	0.689	10	69g
at Target Field	0.237	0.780	19	96g
Overall	0.225	0.731	40	249g

5 Royce Lewis R 0.704

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.237	0.708	27	179g
Hot (80°+)	0.222	0.636	9	78g
at Target Field	0.240	0.709	18	129g
Overall	0.231	0.704	39	251g

6 Victor Caratini S 0.711

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.262	0.727	20	203g
Hot (80°+)	0.318	0.873	5	39g
at Target Field	0.275	0.786	5	39g
Overall	0.256	0.711	27	273g

7 Alan Roden L 0.530

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.214	0.580	2	46g
Hot (80°+)	0.185	0.538	1	11g
at Target Field	0.182	0.441	0	10g
Overall	0.193	0.530	2	60g

8 Tristan Gray L 0.607

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.222	0.616	7	87g
Hot (80°+)	0.250	0.643	2	31g
at Target Field	0.306	0.752	2	34g
Overall	0.221	0.607	7	106g

9 Luke Keaschall R 0.731

Split	AVG	OPS	HR	n
vs RHP	0.286	0.773	6	99g
Hot (80°+)	0.312	0.794	2	32g
at Target Field	0.255	0.680	3	79g
Overall	0.275	0.731	8	140g

Injured List

LAA (10 on IL)

Sebastián Rivero C Injured 10-Day
Travis d'Arnaud C Injured 60-Day
Adam Frazier 2B Injured 10-Day
Yoán Moncada 3B Injured 60-Day
Anthony Rendon 3B Injured 60-Day
Jack Kochanowicz P Injured 60-Day
Robert Stephenson P Injured 60-Day
Gustavo Campero C Injured 10-Day
Ben Joyce P Injured 60-Day
Yusei Kikuchi P Injured 60-Day

MIN (9 on IL)

Anthony Banda P Injured 60-Day
Connor Prielipp P Injured 15-Day
Byron Buxton CF Injured 10-Day
David Festa P Injured 60-Day
Cole Sands P Injured 15-Day
Pablo López P Injured 60-Day
Mick Abel P Injured 60-Day
Garrett Acton P Injured 60-Day
Marco Raya P Injured 15-Day

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Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins prediction — July 11, 2026

What the AIs predict

Starting Pitchers

Head to Head 2026 season

Team Data (season)

Form & Market Trends

Confirmed Lineups

LAA Los Angeles Angels Confirmed

MIN Minnesota Twins Confirmed

Injured List

See the whole board, not just the score.