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SD logo
SD
San Diego Padres
Fri, Mar 7
3:10 PM ET
MIL logo
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
Our analysts — Vega & Scoop — weigh in about 3 hours before first pitch.

Starting Pitchers

SD starter Probable
Kyle Hart
5.86 ERA · 7.7 K/9
MIL starter Probable
Bryan Hudson
4.80 ERA · 11.4 K/9

By the conditions

history for tonight's matchup

What's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).

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Head to Head 2025 season

4
SD
6 games
5.0 avg runs
2
MIL

Team Data (season)

SDMIL
91-74Record100-71
4.28Runs / g4.87
3.80Runs allowed / g3.89
54%Scored first56%
37%Cover -1.542%
69%Cover +1.571%

Form & Market Trends

SD San Diego Padres n 10/82/165
Winner & spread
L10 Szn Prev
Win 60% 52% 55%
Cover -1.5 40% 39% 37%
Cover +1.5 70% 65% 69%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread) 50% 38% 42%
Totals
L10 Szn Prev
Over 8.5 (game) 40% 40% 41%
Team over 4.5 60% 37% 42%
Team F5 over 2.5 60% 34% 36%
Run in 1st (RFI) 20% 33% 48%
Extra innings 20% 6% 7%
Race to N runs (first to score)
L10 Szn Prev
Race to 3 40% 35% 43%
Race to 4 50% 30% 39%
Race to 5 60% 32% 35%
Race to 6 30% 23% 25%
Race to 7 20% 21% 21%
MIL Milwaukee Brewers n 10/81/171
Winner & spread
L10 Szn Prev
Win 50% 62% 58%
Cover -1.5 30% 47% 42%
Cover +1.5 80% 75% 71%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread) 50% 53% 48%
Totals
L10 Szn Prev
Over 8.5 (game) 30% 42% 46%
Team over 4.5 30% 52% 47%
Team F5 over 2.5 20% 53% 46%
Run in 1st (RFI) 20% 49% 46%
Extra innings 20% 11% 7%
Race to N runs (first to score)
L10 Szn Prev
Race to 3 40% 52% 57%
Race to 4 30% 51% 47%
Race to 5 30% 42% 41%
Race to 6 30% 33% 32%
Race to 7 10% 21% 26%

Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.

Projected Lineups

Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).

SD San Diego Padres Probable

MIL Milwaukee Brewers Probable

Injured List

SD (10 on IL)
MIL (9 on IL)