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CHC logo
CHC
Chicago Cubs
Fri, Mar 7
3:05 PM ET
CWS logo
CWS
Chicago White Sox
Our analysts — Vega & Scoop — weigh in about 3 hours before first pitch.

Starting Pitchers

CHC starter Probable
Colin Rea
3.83 ERA · 7.0 K/9
CWS starter Probable
Shane Smith
3.81 ERA · 8.9 K/9

By the conditions

history for tonight's matchup

What's happened when these teams played in these exact conditions — vs the league average (the tick).

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Head to Head 2025 season

5
CHC
6 games
11.2 avg runs
1
CWS

Team Data (season)

CHCCWS
96-74Record60-102
4.80Runs / g3.99
3.98Runs allowed / g4.58
52%Scored first52%
41%Cover -1.528%
68%Cover +1.559%

Form & Market Trends

CHC Chicago Cubs n 10/84/170
Winner & spread
L10 Szn Prev
Win 80% 55% 56%
Cover -1.5 60% 38% 41%
Cover +1.5 80% 65% 68%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread) 50% 37% 51%
Totals
L10 Szn Prev
Over 8.5 (game) 70% 56% 45%
Team over 4.5 70% 52% 43%
Team F5 over 2.5 60% 45% 47%
Run in 1st (RFI) 20% 39% 51%
Extra innings 20% 13% 6%
Race to N runs (first to score)
L10 Szn Prev
Race to 3 70% 49% 55%
Race to 4 90% 49% 48%
Race to 5 70% 43% 36%
Race to 6 60% 35% 31%
Race to 7 60% 31% 24%
CWS Chicago White Sox n 10/83/162
Winner & spread
L10 Szn Prev
Win 50% 53% 37%
Cover -1.5 20% 33% 28%
Cover +1.5 90% 65% 59%
Lead after 5 (F5 spread) 20% 37% 36%
Totals
L10 Szn Prev
Over 8.5 (game) 50% 55% 49%
Team over 4.5 30% 51% 34%
Team F5 over 2.5 20% 48% 34%
Run in 1st (RFI) 40% 57% 56%
Extra innings 20% 13% 6%
Race to N runs (first to score)
L10 Szn Prev
Race to 3 50% 46% 40%
Race to 4 50% 41% 30%
Race to 5 20% 36% 27%
Race to 6 30% 35% 23%
Race to 7 20% 19% 19%

Cover -1.5 = won by 2+; Cover +1.5 = lost by ≤1 or won. F5 = first five innings. RFI = a run scored in the 1st. Race to N = team first to N runs. Descriptive; low-n splits are noisy.

Projected Lineups

Tap a batter for tonight's matchup splits — vs the opposing starter's hand, in the game's temperature, and at this park (vs their overall).

CHC Chicago Cubs Probable

CWS Chicago White Sox Probable

Injured List

CHC (15 on IL)
CWS (12 on IL)