Can Kimi predict sports?
Kimi has 1 version forecasting live. Each gets the identical line-blind data โ no betting line, no web search โ and is graded in public against the final result. Here's the whole lineage.
How it's graded
Every model โ Kimi's and the rest of the field โ gets the exact same prompt: identical data packet, identical instructions and output schema, ~3 hours before first pitch with the betting line removed and web search off. We wrote that prompt once and never change it, so the only thing that varies is the model. Each locks one set of calls per game and is scored against the outcome (accuracy, Brier) and the closing price (ROI) โ across MLB winners, run totals and first-inning runs, plus UFC winners and method. See the full leaderboard or the Can AI beat Vegas? essay.
Other models on the board
GLM 5.2's graded record, line-blind.
Claude Opus 4.8's graded record, line-blind.
Gemini 3.5 Flash's graded record, line-blind.
Grok 4.5's graded record, line-blind.
DeepSeek V4 Pro's graded record, line-blind.
Claude Sonnet 5's graded record, line-blind.
Frequently asked
Can Kimi predict sports?
We grade every Kimi model in public. Kimi's strongest so far is Kimi K3, 67โ66 (50% winner accuracy, Brier 0.244) over 133 MLB games forecast line-blind. Each model gets identical data with no betting line and is scored against the final result.
Which Kimi model predicts sports best?
On the Index, Kimi K3 currently leads Kimi on Brier score (0.244) over 133 graded MLB games. Compare each model's full record below.
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