College Football Strength of Schedule 2025 (Model-Based) | Predicted Sports
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Strength of Schedule

A 12-2 season means nothing until you know who the 14 opponents were. This is every FBS schedule measured by our Glicko ratings: the average strength of the opponents actually faced, the record against the model's top 25, and FCS paydays counted honestly. It is the evidence under every rankings-vs-committee argument.

The gauntlet: Wisconsin faced the toughest slate in the country (average opponent 1612), while Ohio is the softest schedule inside our top 25, ranked just 119th of 136.

2025 season · through January 20, 2026 · 136 FBS teams

# Team Rec SOS vs Top 25
1
Wisconsin
Big Ten
4-8 1612 2-6
2
Purdue
Big Ten
2-10 1608 0-6
3
Florida
SEC
4-8 1601 1-4
4
Arkansas
SEC
2-10 1596 0-4
5
Rutgers
Big Ten
5-7 1590 1-5
6
UCLA
Big Ten
3-9 1586 0-4
7
Ohio State
Big Ten
12-2 1586 5-2
8
South Carolina
SEC
4-8 1586 0-4
9
Alabama
SEC
11-4 1585 2-3
10
Indiana
Big Ten
16-0 1585 7-0
11
Kentucky
SEC
5-7 1584 0-3
12
Miami
ACC
13-3 1583 4-2
13
Oklahoma
SEC
10-3 1582 2-3
14
Oregon
Big Ten
13-2 1582 4-2
15
Syracuse
ACC
3-9 1579 0-3
16
LSU
SEC
7-6 1577 0-4
17
Mississippi State
SEC
5-8 1574 0-4
18
West Virginia
Big 12
4-8 1574 0-5
19
Georgia
SEC
12-2 1573 3-2
20
Illinois
Big Ten
9-4 1568 0-3
21
Colorado
Big 12
3-9 1567 0-3
22
Ole Miss
SEC
13-2 1566 4-2
23
Virginia Tech
ACC
3-9 1565 0-1
24
Michigan State
Big Ten
4-8 1564 0-3
25
NC State
ACC
8-5 1563 0-2
26
Penn State
Big Ten
7-6 1562 0-4
27
USC
Big Ten
9-4 1561 2-4
28
Georgia State
Sun Belt
1-11 1560 0-2
29
Auburn
SEC
5-7 1560 0-4
30
Duke
ACC
9-5 1559 0-2
31
Iowa
Big Ten
9-4 1558 0-2
32
BYU
Big 12
12-2 1555 2-2
33
Arizona State
Big 12
8-5 1555 2-1
34
Northwestern
Big Ten
7-6 1554 0-4
35
TCU
Big 12
9-4 1553 1-1
36
Stanford
ACC
4-8 1553 0-4
37
Oklahoma State
Big 12
1-11 1553 0-2
38
Boston College
ACC
2-10 1551 0-2
39
Texas A&M
SEC
11-2 1551 1-2
40
Kansas
Big 12
5-7 1546 0-2
41
Washington
Big Ten
9-4 1546 2-3
42
Louisville
ACC
9-4 1546 2-1
43
Michigan
Big Ten
9-4 1545 1-3
44
Charlotte
American Athletic
1-11 1545 0-2
45
Baylor
Big 12
5-7 1544 1-2
46
Texas Tech
Big 12
12-2 1543 3-1
47
Cincinnati
Big 12
7-6 1543 0-4
48
Iowa State
Big 12
8-4 1542 2-1
49
Vanderbilt
SEC
10-3 1541 0-3
50
Texas
SEC
10-3 1541 3-2
51
Nebraska
Big Ten
7-6 1540 0-3
52
Arizona
Big 12
9-4 1540 0-2
53
Oregon State
Pac-12
2-10 1539 0-2
54
Minnesota
Big Ten
8-5 1539 0-3
55
Clemson
ACC
7-6 1539 0-1
56
Georgia Tech
ACC
9-4 1538 0-2
57
Colorado State
Mountain West
2-10 1538 0-2
58
Kansas State
Big 12
6-6 1538 1-2
59
Florida State
ACC
5-7 1538 1-1
60
Pittsburgh
ACC
8-5 1535 0-2
61
Washington State
Pac-12
7-6 1535 0-3
62
Tennessee
SEC
8-5 1534 0-4
63
Notre Dame
FBS Independents
10-2 1534 2-2
64
SMU
ACC
9-4 1533 1-1
65
Maryland
Big Ten
4-8 1532 0-4
66
UCF
Big 12
5-7 1531 0-2
67
Tulane
American Athletic
11-3 1531 0-2
68
Boise State
Mountain West
9-5 1529 0-2
69
James Madison
Sun Belt
12-2 1528 0-1
70
South Florida
American Athletic
9-4 1527 1-2
71
Utah
Big 12
11-2 1526 0-2
72
Virginia
ACC
11-3 1524 ·
73
Temple
American Athletic
5-7 1523 0-3
74
Air Force
Mountain West
4-8 1521 0-2
75
UAB
American Athletic
4-8 1521 0-1
76
Marshall
Sun Belt
5-7 1521 0-2
77
Missouri
SEC
8-5 1520 0-3
78
Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
7-6 1520 0-1
79
Rice
American Athletic
5-8 1519 0-1
80
North Carolina
ACC
4-8 1518 0-1
81
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
4-8 1517 0-2
82
Nevada
Mountain West
3-9 1517 0-1
83
Utah State
Mountain West
6-7 1515 0-2
84
California
ACC
7-6 1515 1-0
85
East Carolina
American Athletic
9-4 1514 0-2
86
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
10-3 1514 0-2
87
Wake Forest
ACC
9-4 1513 1-0
88
UTSA
American Athletic
7-6 1513 1-1
89
Army
American Athletic
7-6 1511 0-2
90
Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
6-7 1510 0-1
91
Troy
Sun Belt
8-6 1510 0-1
92
North Texas
American Athletic
12-2 1509 1-1
93
Houston
Big 12
10-3 1508 0-2
94
UL Monroe
Sun Belt
3-9 1507 0-1
95
Navy
American Athletic
11-2 1503 0-1
96
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
7-7 1503 0-1
97
Texas State
Sun Belt
7-6 1501 0-1
98
App State
Sun Belt
5-8 1500 0-2
99
Louisiana
Sun Belt
6-7 1498 0-1
100
Kennesaw State
Conference USA
10-4 1498 0-1
101
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
7-6 1497 ·
102
South Alabama
Sun Belt
4-8 1497 0-1
103
Florida International
Conference USA
7-6 1496 ·
104
San José State
Mountain West
3-9 1495 0-1
105
New Mexico
Mountain West
9-4 1494 0-2
106
Memphis
American Athletic
8-5 1493 0-2
107
UNLV
Mountain West
10-4 1493 0-3
108
Liberty
Conference USA
4-8 1492 0-1
109
San Diego State
Mountain West
9-4 1492 1-0
110
Tulsa
American Athletic
4-8 1490 0-2
111
Sam Houston
Conference USA
2-10 1489 0-1
112
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
4-8 1489 0-1
113
Western Michigan
Mid-American
10-4 1488 1-1
114
Arkansas State
Sun Belt
7-6 1488 ·
115
Missouri State
Conference USA
7-6 1488 0-1
116
Massachusetts
Mid-American
0-12 1487 0-2
117
Wyoming
Mountain West
4-8 1486 0-1
118
UTEP
Conference USA
2-10 1486 0-1
119
Ohio
Mid-American
9-4 1482 0-1
120
Hawai'i
Mountain West
9-4 1480 ·
121
Toledo
Mid-American
8-5 1480 ·
122
Ball State
Mid-American
4-8 1479 1-0
123
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
3-9 1477 ·
124
Delaware
Conference USA
7-6 1475 ·
125
Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
8-5 1474 ·
126
Fresno State
Mountain West
9-4 1473 1-0
127
New Mexico State
Conference USA
4-8 1468 ·
128
Jacksonville State
Conference USA
9-5 1468 ·
129
Buffalo
Mid-American
5-7 1467 0-1
130
Bowling Green
Mid-American
4-8 1466 0-1
131
Western Kentucky
Conference USA
9-4 1466 ·
132
Central Michigan
Mid-American
7-6 1466 0-1
133
Kent State
Mid-American
5-7 1465 0-2
134
Northern Illinois
Mid-American
3-9 1464 0-1
135
UConn
FBS Independents
9-4 1463 ·
136
Akron
Mid-American
5-7 1436 ·

SOS = the average Glicko rating of FBS opponents in completed games (1500 = an average FBS team; higher = harder). FCS opponents are excluded from the average and counted in their own column instead, because beating one tells you almost nothing. vs Top 25 = the record against teams currently in our model top 25. Graded in public.