predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Joseph Holmes
8-4 · Orthodox
vs
Alen Amedovski
8-4 · Orthodox
Middleweight · APEX cage
Result
Joseph Holmes def.
SUB · R1 1:04
Tale of the Tape
80"
Reach
74"
30
Age
38
2.88
SLpM
0.99
53%
Str. Acc.
30%
3.08
SApM
3.85
54%
Str. Def.
46%
1.49
TD Avg.
0.00
50%
TD Def.
0%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Joseph Holmes
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Joseph Holmes
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Joseph Holmes
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Joseph Holmes finishes 25% · finished 50% (4 fights)
With a reach advantage 33% (1-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 33% (1-2)
When younger than opponent 25% (1-3)
Vs orthodox 25% (1-3)
Alen Amedovski finishes 0% · finished 100% (2 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-2)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-2)
Giving up reach 0% (0-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.