predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Michael Johnson
25-20 · Southpaw
vs
Alan Patrick
15-4 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Michael Johnson def.
KO/TKO · R2 3:22
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
74"
40
Age
42
4.27
SLpM
1.82
39%
Str. Acc.
40%
3.78
SApM
2.95
58%
Str. Def.
43%
0.57
TD Avg.
3.01
81%
TD Def.
43%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Michael Johnson
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Alan Patrick
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Michael Johnson
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Michael Johnson finishes 22% · finished 22% (9 fights)
When older than opponent 67% (4-2)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (2-2)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
Alan Patrick finishes 0% · finished 50% (2 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-2)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.