predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Allan Nascimento
22-7 · Orthodox
vs
Jake Hadley
11-4 · Southpaw
Flyweight · APEX cage
Result
Allan Nascimento def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
70"
34
Age
29
3.20
SLpM
3.80
51%
Str. Acc.
43%
2.53
SApM
4.16
53%
Str. Def.
61%
1.04
TD Avg.
0.33
41%
TD Def.
54%
0.90
Sub. Avg.
1.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Jake Hadley
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Jake Hadley
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Allan Nascimento
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Allan Nascimento finishes 33% · finished 0% (6 fights)
Vs orthodox 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 80% (4-1)
When older than opponent 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
Jake Hadley finishes 29% · finished 0% (7 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 50% (3-3)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 40% (2-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.