predicted sports
← UFC 274
Carla Esparza
20-8 · Orthodox
vs
Rose Namajunas
15-8 · Orthodox
Women's Strawweight · Title
Result
Carla Esparza def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
63"
Reach
65"
38
Age
34
2.19
SLpM
3.50
39%
Str. Acc.
41%
2.87
SApM
3.38
54%
Str. Def.
63%
3.28
TD Avg.
1.47
47%
TD Def.
62%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Women's Strawweight
202 fights · edge Rose Namajunas
41%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Strawweight
177 fights · edge Rose Namajunas
54%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Strawweight
181 fights · edge Rose Namajunas
36%
of Women's Strawweight fights end inside the distance
202 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Carla Esparza finishes 20% · finished 20% (5 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 75% (3-1)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)
Rose Namajunas finishes 10% · finished 0% (10 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (3-0)
In 5-round fights 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 75% (3-1)
In title fights 67% (2-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.